Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4b9beb6128863db2b107f185521597a426356f1d9a23c7001401edfd32014b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,433,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,233,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,433,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 882 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 289,708$228,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,838.74 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…678abacked Yes | 21c | 230,000$48,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 211,877$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 79c | 80,416$63,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,016.3 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 79c | 59,998$47,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.59 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 50,134$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.97 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 38,857$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.88 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 21c | 38,400$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 37,009$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 21c | 28,581$6,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.02 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 79c | 28,336$22,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.59 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 79c | 27,776$21,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.93 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 78c | 26,064$20,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 21c | 22,804$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.9 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 21c | 20,310$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.1 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 13c | 19,962$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,826$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.01 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 21c | 15,513$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 11,348$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 10c | 11,331$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…88b2backed Yes | 7c | 11,256$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…7c86backed Yes | 21c | 10,866$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 10,330$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 9,925$7,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.41 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 21c | 9,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes | 21c | 9,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…a702backed Yes | 21c | 8,788$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 8,510$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.1 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 21c | 6,997$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.44 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 21c | 6,872$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…91b6backed Yes | 21c | 6,712$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 79c | 6,400$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 79c | 6,087$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.08 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 21c | 5,761$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.81 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 79c | 5,314$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.92 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 4,900$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.3 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 4,677$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.13 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Yes | 2c | 4,238$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 79c | 4,099$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 3,511$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.35 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…09b4backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 6c | 3,328$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…eab5backed Yes | 10c | 3,286$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,278$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Yes | 13c | 3,224$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.47 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,223$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 3,041$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.15 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 21c | 2,860$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 21c | 2,633$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.89 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed No | 80c | 2,523$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,518$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.73 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…9448backed Yes | 12c | 2,481$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…baf9backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…8d1fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,370$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed No | 80c | 2,190$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…9020backed Yes | 21c | 2,184$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…bd5abacked Yes | 21c | 2,123$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 21c | 2,100$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…4abcbacked Yes | 12c | 2,033$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…98bebacked Yes | 17c | 1,939$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…66b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,778$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed No | 80c | 1,706$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…eb61backed Yes | 21c | 1,650$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 1,626$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,612$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,590$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 78c | 1,566$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…a78cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,547$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…9275backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,491$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…6a15backed Yes | 21c | 1,390$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…5fdcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,351$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…117dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,350$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,335$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…7cb3backed Yes | 21c | 1,329$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.98 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes | 20c | 1,272$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 18c | 1,257$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 21c | 1,188$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 1,160$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed No | 80c | 1,110$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 20c | 1,042$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?this page
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes won
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.