TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6fa…aeec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.79
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.57
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.41
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+221%+$83.31
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$128.21
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$1,207.39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$82.33
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.35
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.15
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$86.49
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.8
South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.42
South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,845.23
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+143%+$534.26
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.88
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.28
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$321.2
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.22
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.63
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.45
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$1,361.44
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+296%+$2,368.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.6
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,074.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,944Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$1,301.61
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,523.43
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.49
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.38
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.97
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+335.3%+$721.1
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$8,876.06
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$188.33
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.79
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.32
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.25
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+384.7%+$9,965.17
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,332.15
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.35
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.53
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.21
Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,090.52
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,303.56
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-84.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$129.57
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.83
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.03
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.12
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+121.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.