Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,614,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,774,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,614,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 221,515$171,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,688.2 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 34c | 81,220$27,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,820.19 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 72,511$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.33 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 10c | 65,064$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,467.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 46c | 57,139$26,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,540.03 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Yes | 52c | 45,694$23,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,624.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 15c | 44,333$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.47 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 62c | 33,568$20,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.27 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 32,309$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 2c | 30,143$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.67 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…763ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 50c | 30,000$14,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,060 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 5c | 29,810$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.31 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 54c | 29,444$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,445.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 50c | 27,935$13,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,080.53 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 46c | 26,946$12,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,394.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 17c | 25,977$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 15c | 25,000$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.88 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 13c | 23,969$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.26 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 21c | 17,714$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.5 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 17c | 15,170$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.43 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 66c | 15,022$9,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 14,736$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 57c | 12,721$7,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.75 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 11c | 10,986$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.83 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 51c | 10,952$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.49 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 49c | 10,779$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.85 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 10,753$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,307$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…a2a7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…5f28backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 6c | 9,198$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.48 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 35c | 8,662$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.67 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 42c | 8,518$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.93 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 15c | 8,359$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.58 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 8,210$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 39c | 8,193$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.7 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 5c | 8,100$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 59c | 7,969$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.61 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 30c | 7,297$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.42 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 48c | 7,279$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.84 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 7c | 7,278$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 5c | 7,269$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.56 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 42c | 7,179$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.26 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 56c | 7,000$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 42c | 6,283$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…e423backed Yes | 48c | 6,168$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.76 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 78c | 5,996$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.76 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,882$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.93 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…73a7backed Yes | 4c | 5,800$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 52c | 5,705$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 11c | 5,535$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.51 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 5,523$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 51c | 5,412$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.94 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,301$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.75 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 53c | 5,274$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.24 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 75c | 5,245$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.61 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 52c | 5,240$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 75c | 5,236$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.52 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.85 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…2673backed Yes | 40c | 4,997$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 55c | 4,981$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 40c | 4,939$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.82 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…97cdbacked Yes | 10c | 4,880$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 47c | 4,494$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.82 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 50c | 4,456$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.03 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…9212backed Yes | 2c | 4,417$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Yes | 5c | 4,414$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 10c | 4,405$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.64 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 43c | 4,313$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.59 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 19c | 4,021$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.14 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0b8cbacked Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…d447backed No | 75c | 3,819$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 3,709$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.39 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…fa62backed Yes | 14c | 3,602$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,549$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.74 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 53c | 3,500$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.06 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 35c | 3,500$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…9420backed Yes | 6c | 3,400$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 9c | 3,270$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 62c | 3,251$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6208…e9c0backed Yes | 3c | 3,203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,055$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.73 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…e56abacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 6c | 2,949$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 33c | 2,943$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 34c | 2,926$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,923$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed No | 35c | 2,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 6c | 2,804$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,789$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 7c | 2,731$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,683$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…a9d4backed No | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?this page
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.