TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x801d…d8e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
324
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT13863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$1,580
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,879.98
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$490
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$590.12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520.38
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$55.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$639.89
BNB all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.5%+$62.6
Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34%+$208.26
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27%+$2,102.23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,908Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$3,082.4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,677Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51%+$3,402.64
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,865Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.6%+$1,534.73
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,455.33
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,473.51
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.9%+$1,180.64
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$1,998
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16,498.17
Will Solana reach $210 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$690
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$4,557.74
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$7,325.55
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,250
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5930.5%18 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$334.99
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$790
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$760
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$810
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.99
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$387
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,495.3%+$65,611.98
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,927.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,739.95
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,868.29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,586.12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.59
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.62
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,980
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,260.86
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$2,021.19
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.93
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+352.5%+$760.41
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
NBA Finals: Will any player score 40+ points? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$136
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$1,792.29
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,593.25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$844.94
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$586.91
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$566.57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42%+$222
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26%+$1,340
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$7,843.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$458.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,894.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$2,474.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$3,110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,115.14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$2,600.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,789.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,689.66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,803Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$1,749.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,029.13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$6,910
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,259.47
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.99
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$279.58
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.21
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,199.99
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$414.86
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,770
Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,215
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.62
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.28
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.9
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$875.22
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,293.45
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12,125.9
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14,556.78
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+74.6%+$6,847.68
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,015.79
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$219.1
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,681.23
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$4,626.04
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178.56
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$1,178.15
LA curfew enacted by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$815.61
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+212.1%+$169.9
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,435.69
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,098Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+67.8%+$2,101.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.3%+$1,408.33
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.94
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,214.57
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,258.17
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+217.8%+$3,514
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,091.08
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+135.4%+$2,702.97
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,501.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,698.62
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+118.9%+$1,684
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Frosinone Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,146.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.