Us Politics · resolved market
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0097a5f3d9739ca64e2ba58c70261482a3e7ed33afdbb381b230cbd5e494ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,320,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,587,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,320,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x242f…986cbacked No | 61c | 81,500$49,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,785 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e564backed Yes | 39c | 81,500$31,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,785 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 63c | 72,416$45,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,953.19 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…563bbacked Yes | 42c | 57,677$24,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,224.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…63ccbacked No | 58c | 57,675$33,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,223.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 23c | 50,986$11,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,701.04 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 37c | 46,398$17,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,146.65 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…67dfbacked Yes | 19c | 44,399$8,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,435.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 50c | 44,010$21,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,843.89 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 59c | 40,795$23,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,818.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 15c | 37,606$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 20c | 34,334$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,804.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 11c | 32,432$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.67 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 53c | 29,589$15,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,616.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa176…4167backed No | 63c | 23,512$14,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…41d9backed Yes | 37c | 23,512$8,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 48c | 19,107$9,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,203.09 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 60c | 17,669$10,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 29c | 17,514$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.31 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked No | 56c | 17,212$9,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 79c | 17,041$13,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.3 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked No | 34c | 14,000$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,293.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 22c | 13,788$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.11 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 13,656$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.71 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes | 62c | 12,999$8,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,112.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 12,884$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.3 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked No | 41c | 10,894$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 58c | 10,535$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked No | 58c | 9,788$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 72c | 9,750$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.57 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…c749backed No | 44c | 9,090$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…235bbacked Yes | 35c | 8,259$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed No | 65c | 7,916$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 59c | 7,471$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.27 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 44c | 7,430$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.93 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 17c | 7,387$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.66 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 62c | 6,959$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.41 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 48c | 6,906$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.71 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 51c | 6,468$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.66 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed No | 64c | 6,445$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 50c | 6,063$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 58c | 6,058$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 37c | 5,869$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,753$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 60c | 5,752$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…54a5backed No | 49c | 5,650$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed No | 63c | 5,553$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…9c10backed Yes | 65c | 5,400$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 48c | 5,232$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 60c | 5,200$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b737backed No | 51c | 5,191$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 26c | 5,124$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.95 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 21c | 5,079$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 42c | 5,043$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86f…38e1backed Yes | 8c | 4,875$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 35c | 4,861$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 75c | 4,815$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.19 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…5819backed Yes | 51c | 4,772$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 17c | 4,272$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.18 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…ac9cbacked No | 56c | 4,215$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 4,208$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.22 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked No | 79c | 4,096$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,764$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.08 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 57c | 3,723$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 44c | 3,685$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 74c | 3,562$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.93 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…c7a0backed No | 53c | 3,320$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 69c | 3,307$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.46 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 6c | 3,303$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 10c | 3,268$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.53 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 32c | 3,229$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 59c | 3,218$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed No | 76c | 3,104$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 19c | 3,090$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 53c | 3,057$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 48c | 3,034$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.48 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Yes | 19c | 3,020$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked No | 41c | 3,002$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 33c | 2,851$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.13 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…a467backed No | 48c | 2,843$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed No | 60c | 2,779$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed No | 61c | 2,719$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…022cbacked No | 36c | 2,717$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 54c | 2,712$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.14 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 43c | 2,638$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.49 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 37c | 2,631$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.58 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,587$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 76c | 2,522$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 70c | 2,440$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.73 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 4c | 2,411$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 78c | 2,377$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 60c | 2,365$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,353$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 7c | 2,350$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.