TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68c2…1711

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,300
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT37844.4%168 W · 210 L+33.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+64.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 378 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13,821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4,190.21
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$3,903.96
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,109.24
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,698Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$6,528.99
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$12.78
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$915.28
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,653.06
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,109.32
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.3%+$452.81
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.8%+$16.67
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$148.37
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,808.44
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,150
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$726.8
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+312.3%+$678.25
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$370.04
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥50.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$570.65
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.7%+$8,684.43
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,623.01
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$416.97
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$791.08
Showing 25 of 378 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT31241.7%130 W · 182 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 312 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,655.23
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,575.27
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$699.35
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.45
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.67
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$1,297.19
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+355.9%+$5,642.21
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$1,351.53
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$162.51
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$261.86
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$221.78
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$104.23
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.38
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$701.27
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.32
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,044.78
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,726.93
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$3,710.14
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$49.73
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.23
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.63
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$862.55
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$1,361.04
Showing 25 of 312 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT12133.1%40 W · 81 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$131.51
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$208.78
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$912.62
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,511Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$5,170.23
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,574.82
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.2
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.3
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$84.48
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$67.48
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.32
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.44
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.81
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$298.24
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.82
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,718Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$8,641.5
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,676Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$4,603.58
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.24
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.58
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,637.66
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,078.58
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$68.28
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.5
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$127
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+211.3%+$2,282.02
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66,504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$122,477.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,847.7%+$2,639.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+586.7%+$10,310.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.98
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.38
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,141.21
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+225.8%+$197.86
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$176.99
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$352.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,203.63
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$773.2
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+95.4%+$407.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$84.85
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$347.46
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$531.97
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.86
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.68
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.51
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,297.12
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.43
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT8333.7%28 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$868.29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$138.73
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$3,739.7
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$56.61
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,454.09
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,058Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$924.79
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+467.3%+$992.65
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.25
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$212.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,274.8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$2,452.56
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,828Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$698.87
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$959.28
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$232.45
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.46
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$338.66
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,502.36
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+136.2%+$487.53
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13,393.3
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,038.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,423.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.36
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$1,030.63
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.58
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,773.56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,368.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$135,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$135,414.3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+621.7%+$2,490.49
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,158.21
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.51
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.61
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.91
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.12
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,120.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79,730.05
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551.38
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$6,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,948.5
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.49
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$21.3
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$59.97
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$27.1
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.08
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$45.73
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+425.2%+$586.14
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.89
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34.27
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$677.83
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$114.83
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$540.17
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.29
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,874.34
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$1,085.44
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36%+$115.34
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,714.45
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$154.95
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.13
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24.17
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$193.62
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$248.92
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$226.3
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST3112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$791.68
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$524.91
Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
Will JD Vance attend Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.95
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$414
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+1,288.9%+$1,392
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+218.6%+$301.44
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+150%+$1,200
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$223.31
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$110.92
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$71.04
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$158.5
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$372.5
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$47.96
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$47
Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$53.19
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2512%3 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,280.82
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$17,199.91
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$1,141.1
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+209%+$6,830.92
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.56
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,525
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,108.22
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.42
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.16
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,596.22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.56
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,302.95
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,426.17
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.78
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.96
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.31
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.72
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+34%+$111.56
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.66
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.11
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.3%+$221.15
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+401.5%+$93.04
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,900%+$2,015.95
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$98.16
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$67.04
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55.83
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,717.43
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+82.3%+$240.19
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$125.19
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.84
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$218.22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$423.77
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+275.8%+$189.38
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$943.39
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.65
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.65
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+59.7%+$215.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12,542.27
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.5%+$818.56
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,793.35
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,131
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,984.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,066Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+356.5%+$7,364.75
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,905.95
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+426.3%+$359.92
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,301.56
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$4,060.16
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,741Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$1,430.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+420.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.97
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+6,150%+$2,951.98
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.86
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.52
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.16
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.56
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.31
Will Donald Trump disparage Xi Jinping on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.48
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.8
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+112.4%+$517.56
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$41.53
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$969.02
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-76.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$357.7
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$441.38
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will 'Alien: Romulus' gross more than $50m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$93.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$452.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.