Brazil Presidential Election
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World PoliticsSettled:
https://tailmypicks.com/e/brazil-presidential-election
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 29 wallets, $833,254 · No: 12 wallets, $137,811 12 of 41 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xbf66…9859#1 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $98 | 20c | +$383.28 | 69 |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9#6 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $119 | 47c | -$118.58 | 66 |
| 0x32d4…b3d3#8 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $1,042 | 37c | -$1,042.31 | 65 |
| 0x6575…b198#9 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $59,091 | 32c | +$127,759.32 | 65 |
| 0xa507…f17d#11 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $45 | 32c | -$45.04 | 65 |
| 0x9352…2227#14 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $787 | 6c | -$786.62 | 64 |
| 0x162f…978f#15 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $34,614 | 62c | -$34,613.7 | 64 |
| 0x5652…00c9#16 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $1,131 | 13c | +$7,596.37 | 64 |
| 0x1c76…c23e#21 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $188 | 38c | +$312 | 63 |
| 0x72f7…92f7#22 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $2,544 | 28c | -$2,543.94 | 63 |
| 0x2b62…438c#26 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $56 | 46c | -$55.56 | 62 |
| 0x3dca…3c13#39 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $19,711 | 66c | -$19,711.22 | 62 |
| 0x5ccf…79d7#40 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $501 | 17c | +$2,498.94 | 62 |
| 0x3825…04e8#42 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $59 | 40c | -$58.68 | 62 |
| 0x378a…a638#47 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $99 | 57c | -$98.64 | 62 |
| 0x23d8…0288#50 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $68,931 | 36c | -$68,931.27 | 62 |
| 0x8a98…1b92#53 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $535 | 60c | +$356.03 | 62 |
| 0xa2dc…49f9#57 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $50,592 | 63c | -$50,592.44 | 61 |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8#61 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $32 | 42c | +$44.3 | 61 |
| 0xa3c2…df3d#63 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $28 | 60c | +$18.36 | 61 |
| 0x7d58…462d#64 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $38 | 64c | +$21.88 | 61 |
| 0xfe3b…ae48#65 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $115 | 25c | -$115 | 61 |
| 0x72b2…5548#69 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $1,167 | 38c | -$1,167.08 | 61 |
| 0x3c30…d8ab#74 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $40 | 68c | +$19.22 | 61 |
| 0x86ad…bb53#77 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $50 | 22c | -$50 | 61 |
| 0x6110…5d2e#80 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $481 | 40c | -$481.05 | 61 |
| 0xe605…ac5f#110 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $432 | 11c | -$432.04 | 60 |
| 0x5421…449c#120 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $14 | 70c | -$14 | 60 |
| 0xf9cd…83d4#126 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $4,366 | 18c | -$4,365.71 | 60 |
| 0xd24b…ef76#129 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $53,877 | 53c | +$48,043.56 | 60 |
| 0x2b9d…adc0#151 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $22,252 | 55c | +$18,257 | 59 |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3#189 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $465 | 63c | -$464.8 | 59 |
| 0xbde9…f359#233 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $454 | 24c | -$454.27 | 58 |
| 0x0298…93c4#284 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $5,968 | 49c | -$5,967.79 | 58 |
| 0x9372…a18a#364 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $11,550 | 46c | -$11,550.24 | 57 |
| 0x88c4…129a#721 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $272,438 | 65c | -$272,437.65 | 56 |
| 0x401e…6fc9#1,064 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $45,114 | 75c | -$45,114.11 | 55 |
| 0xc432…0fc9#1,372 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $451 | 37c | -$451 | 55 |
| 0xeb49…693e#1,420 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $118,456 | 53c | -$118,455.92 | 55 |
| 0xa4e3…b39e#1,889 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $17,912 | 36c | -$17,911.8 | 54 |
| 0x2f9d…deb3#6,769 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $175,223 | 72c | -$175,223.07 | 52 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 21 wallets, $451,266 · No: 15 wallets, $522,280 21 of 36 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of World Politics when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xbf66…9859#1 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $153 | 30c | +$358.84 | 69 |
| 0x2c43…32b3#5 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,000 | 12c | +$7,333.92 | 67 |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9#6 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $12 | 39c | -$11.75 | 66 |
| 0x6575…b198#9 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $50,510 | 17c | +$238,679.67 | 65 |
| 0xa507…f17d#11 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $20 | 15c | +$110.5 | 65 |
| 0x9352…2227#14 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $4,777 | 58c | +$3,468.15 | 64 |
| 0x162f…978f#15 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $49,578 | 48c | -$49,578.3 | 64 |
| 0x5652…00c9#16 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $6,843 | 36c | +$12,207.25 | 64 |
| 0x72f7…92f7#22 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $4,128 | 64c | +$2,322 | 63 |
| 0x2b62…438c#26 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $85 | 50c | +$84.14 | 62 |
| 0x3dca…3c13#39 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $37,884 | 44c | +$47,880.27 | 62 |
| 0x5ccf…79d7#40 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $6,352 | 78c | +$1,782.5 | 62 |
| 0x3825…04e8#42 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $50 | 62c | -$49.6 | 62 |
| 0x245c…2486#46 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $130 | 42c | -$130.08 | 62 |
| 0x23d8…0288#50 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $195,967 | 29c | +$474,845.26 | 62 |
| 0x8a98…1b92#53 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $220 | 37c | +$374.96 | 62 |
| 0x7d58…462d#64 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $158 | 51c | -$158.1 | 61 |
| 0xb5d8…af42#67 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $26 | 61c | +$16.59 | 61 |
| 0x72b2…5548#69 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $484 | 48c | +$523.53 | 61 |
| 0x86ad…bb53#77 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $31 | 23c | +$102.51 | 61 |
| 0xe605…ac5f#110 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $1,797 | 32c | +$3,764.33 | 60 |
| 0x5421…449c#120 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $318 | 71c | +$132.45 | 60 |
| 0xf9cd…83d4#126 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $293 | 38c | -$292.66 | 60 |
| 0xd24b…ef76#129 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $44,515 | 77c | +$13,614.14 | 60 |
| 0x2b9d…adc0#151 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $27,274 | 69c | +$12,380.17 | 59 |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3#189 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $120 | 1c | -$119.61 | 59 |
| 0x4d1d…01ac#217 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $110 | 79c | -$109.81 | 58 |
| 0xbde9…f359#233 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $2,156 | 47c | -$2,155.68 | 58 |
| 0x7773…fb59#289 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $2,001 | 66c | -$2,000.94 | 58 |
| 0x9372…a18a#364 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $2,598 | 64c | -$2,598.4 | 57 |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbNo place on the board tonight | Yes | won (open this pick) | $3,124 | 55c | +$2,505.67 | 57 |
| 0x88c4…129a#721 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $322,989 | 78c | -$322,989.32 | 56 |
| 0x401e…6fc9#1,064 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $65,759 | 37c | +$110,793.24 | 55 |
| 0xc432…0fc9#1,372 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $525 | 57c | -$525 | 55 |
| 0xeb49…693e#1,420 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $96,215 | 67c | -$96,214.73 | 55 |
| 0x2f9d…deb3#6,769 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $45,346 | 78c | -$45,345.93 | 52 |
42 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
161 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
262 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
435 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
99 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
127 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
780 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
215 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
17 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
318 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
454 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
96 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
1,490 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
599 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
595 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
1,255 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won.
76 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
About this page
A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.