TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9352…2227

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT12341.5%51 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,458.51
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.96
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.54
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$231.43
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$933.19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.03
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.12
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.54
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$162.69
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$343.26
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.75
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$2,182.97
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$850.24
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.88
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$35.94
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$66.33
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$202.27
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$22.52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$164.95
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$440.99
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.18
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$237.44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.78
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.01
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$227.98
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$195
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$277.46
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$187.32
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.84
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.83
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+226.9%+$34
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$2,374.78
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$17.59
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+448.7%+$98.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+424.4%+$95.73
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$1,041
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.22
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$729.51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.42
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$791.59
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.16
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$1,690.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$722.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$49.54
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,167.97
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$233.29
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.84
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.96
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+395.6%+$1,122.44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.77
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544.25
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$2,080.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$58.12
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$3,087.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+77%+$43.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$29.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$61.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+94.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+586.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$256.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,033.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$618.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.