UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029737e72b5b1661c0f96acb70528cf9a94bb3b2e211d7658f4449414665c03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dricus Du Plessisof Kamaru Usman, Dricus Du Plessis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,401,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,475,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,401,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 417,276$138,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,642.46 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 299,287$200,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,770.63 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 279,916$188,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,579.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 270,160$88,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,749.73 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 215,461$70,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,816.7 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 200,000$132,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,545.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 70c | 199,999$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 193,692$65,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,341.78 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 150,000$100,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kamaru Usman | 31c | 85,000$26,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,350 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 70,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kamaru Usman | 5c | 58,228$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…0fd8backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 54,767$36,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,620.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 44,351$29,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,635.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kamaru Usman | 18c | 43,512$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,845.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 41,490$13,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,691.67 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…3046backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 38,942$13,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,240.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 34,854$23,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,153.23 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 29,851$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 29,412$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 28,719$9,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,488.16 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 24,444$16,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.52 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 24,000$16,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 22,148$14,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.4 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Kamaru Usman | 30c | 22,072$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kamaru Usman | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…da5abacked Kamaru Usman | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.94 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kamaru Usman | 8c | 19,893$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.39 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kamaru Usman | 33c | 19,416$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.26 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 19,189$12,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kamaru Usman | 16c | 18,114$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.5 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Kamaru Usman | 31c | 17,481$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…294cbacked Kamaru Usman | 33c | 16,923$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 15,265$10,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8617backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 15,230$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kamaru Usman | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.93 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 14,753$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.27 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Kamaru Usman | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Kamaru Usman | 22c | 14,567$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 14,475$9,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Kamaru Usman | 32c | 11,292$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 10,239$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.86 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 8,800$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Kamaru Usman | 29c | 8,534$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 8,500$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.99 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 8,062$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Dricus Du Plessis | 65c | 8,000$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.94 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 7,897$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.03 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 7,575$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Kamaru Usman | 32c | 7,500$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…7398backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 7,446$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kamaru Usman | 13c | 7,408$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.14 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Kamaru Usman | 30c | 7,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.95 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Kamaru Usman | 29c | 6,972$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.57 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Kamaru Usman | 35c | 6,964$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…da89backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 6,823$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kamaru Usman | 21c | 6,730$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.63 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 6,634$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.42 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 6,147$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 5,606$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kamaru Usman | 33c | 5,583$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.63 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 5,555$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Kamaru Usman | 33c | 5,513$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kamaru Usman | 12c | 5,377$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 5,285$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 5,078$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.83 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kamaru Usman | 31c | 5,075$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kamaru Usman | 19c | 4,946$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.51 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kamaru Usman | 29c | 4,818$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Kamaru Usman | 34c | 4,728$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.61 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 4,697$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 4,606$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Kamaru Usman | 32c | 4,545$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 4,434$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Kamaru Usman | 18c | 4,300$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 4,249$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 4,100$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Kamaru Usman | 34c | 4,086$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 4,000$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.91 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…93fabacked Dricus Du Plessis | 66c | 3,919$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…653ebacked Dricus Du Plessis | 67c | 3,871$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Dricus Du Plessis | 74c | 3,751$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dricus Du Plessis | 68c | 3,649$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kamaru Usman | 8c | 3,602$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kamaru Usman | 10c | 3,602$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Kamaru Usman | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kamaru Usman | 9c | 3,524$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Kamaru Usman | 3c | 3,451$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 3,333$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.67 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Kamaru Usman | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Dricus Du Plessis | 69c | 3,007$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.07 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Dricus Du Plessis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Kamaru Usman win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.