TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x969a…59dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$8,393.68
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$19,992
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$93.6
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$10,005
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$6,563.54
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18,833Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$9,067.5
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,892
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,393.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$363.84
England to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.27
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21,873Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9,826.99
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$105.17
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5,037.42
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$3,044.18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,290.33
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,445.12
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.51
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,197.94
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,231
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,457.44
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,978.92
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,360
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,963.15
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,336
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,552Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6,048
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.44
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,789.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,349.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10,125
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,995.53
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,990.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,850
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7,073.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$89.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,637.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,633.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,450.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$6,035.7
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$4,056
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,184.58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$1,246.92
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$5,233.28
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.83
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8,394.46
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$78
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4,032
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$5,124.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.6
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,565
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.71
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,615.49
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.72
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.47
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$171.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+88.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,487.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.