Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a60da5131ce9dec0e82785da0aca1d9581101b971622f84adc72fa823c2e3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 60c | 23,577$14,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,314.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 39c | 15,480$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.18 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 25c | 10,966$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.11 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 74c | 9,900$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.08 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 61c | 9,742$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 40c | 8,400$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 3,968$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 40c | 3,012$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 62c | 2,613$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.45 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed No | 41c | 2,355$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.28 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ecc6backed Yes | 71c | 2,120$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 2,006$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 38c | 1,794$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.44 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 1,770$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 41c | 1,766$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.29 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 49c | 1,668$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.67 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 1,598$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed No | 20c | 1,377$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 19c | 1,283$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 1,274$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,116$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 39c | 1,097$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…6131backed No | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…6704backed Yes | 75c | 1,004$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 2c | 938.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 40c | 871.11$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Yes | 57c | 842.5$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 34c | 757.84$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 30c | 663.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 73c | 645$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 40c | 631.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 41c | 585$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.95 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed No | 28c | 570.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed No | 39c | 514.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 41c | 462.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 59c | 447.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 40c | 439.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 410.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…8860backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 7c | 405.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 22c | 393.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 389.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 50c | 352.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 40c | 341.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…589dbacked No | 39c | 282.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…4979backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 40c | 267.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 257.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 55c | 250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 45c | 247.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 71c | 245.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 195.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 60c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 61c | 165.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Yes | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 39c | 148.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 40c | 123.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 115.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 68c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 107.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…120bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked No | 41c | 97.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 40c | 97.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…fd35backed Yes | 61c | 82.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 40c | 80.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 45c | 72.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 39c | 68.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…50bbbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…c7cdbacked Yes | 59c | 66.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 39c | 55.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…ddadbacked Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…8682backed No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 63c | 45.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…1281backed Yes | 61c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +10.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…9bf8backed No | 40c | 36.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Second half draw?No won
- Egypt to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.