Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1aa6a122281974dfe656ecb18c884c2336e429b7d588357d39a389fbda2366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 9,142$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 5,829$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.87 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 52c | 5,047$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.89 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 2,653$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 52c | 2,478$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.71 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 10c | 1,268$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…4007backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 1,077$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 9c | 944.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 3c | 834.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 13c | 603.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 578.74$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 10c | 576.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 483$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 78c | 430$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Yes | 9c | 412.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 9c | 399.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes | 9c | 352.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 43c | 348$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 49c | 328$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 322.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…5557backed Yes | 9c | 315.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 49c | 301.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…e2d9backed Yes | 10c | 293.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 45c | 284.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 272.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 253.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 56c | 189.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…a7b3backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…dbc7backed Yes | 15c | 183.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 69c | 180.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 55c | 174.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 10c | 159.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…1afebacked Yes | 22c | 151.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 10c | 127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…45babacked Yes | 11c | 126.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 13c | 124.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 9c | 122.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…b5d7backed Yes | 15c | 118.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes | 19c | 113.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…0985backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…ffbcbacked Yes | 48c | 92.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 80.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 78.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…9410backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 76.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 80c | 69.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…9740backed Yes | 22c | 66.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…cdacbacked Yes | 28c | 49.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc702…b3fcbacked Yes | 56c | 48.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…1b54backed Yes | 37c | 32.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…b0c3backed Yes | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 67c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt to win the second half?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.