TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf25b…82d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
605
Categories scored
43
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT11816.1%19 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,071.4%+$137.19
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+2,688.9%+$368.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$116.8
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.63
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.82
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$1,250.28
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$407.75
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$184.5
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.74
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.5
Spain to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.7
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.64
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$10
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.87
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Egypt to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.07
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT555.5%3 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-92.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.93
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.32
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Anna De Gaio win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Danish People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.16
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT368.3%3 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-83.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$133.15
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Will Solo Mio be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.83
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.06
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$422.32
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77.28
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.3
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.03
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.32
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+200.4%+$73.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.71
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+1,664.7%+$283
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.62
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-92.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.87
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.68
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$61.63
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.04
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.54
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT319.7%3 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+2,108.5%+$214.81
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$158.67
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.93
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.81
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.26
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.22
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$224.58
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$243.86
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+60.3%+$9.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42.89
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26%+$5.06
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.04
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.12
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.69
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.53
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Trump disparage Zelenskyy on Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.97
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.99
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.94
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+84.5%+$30.65
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.1
Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+34.4%+$51.2
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.8
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+34.9%+$36.2
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205.42
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,158.3%+$421.57
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,149.4%+$473.19
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+216.5%+$674.97
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.19
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$143.96
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$71.08
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$46.15
Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday over 35%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.9%+$6.6
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$4
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.1%+$21.45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$38.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+423.2%+$113.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+211.5%+$27.16
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+34.6%+$12.34
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+106%+$36.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$45.15
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$73.08
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60.09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.7%+$5.26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$77.46
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.97
Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Will Russell Fry replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+166%+$31.2
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$4.25
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 35% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.09
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-77.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.65
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.57
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67.85
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.87
Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauffbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.58
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Oeiras 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Milana Ivantsivbacked Milana Ivantsiv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.27
Busan: James Kent Trotter vs Jake Delaneybacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$310.5
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Victoria Pohlebacked Victoria Pohle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Xinyu Wang vs Manon Leonardbacked Manon Leonard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$27.8
Campinas: Victor Braga vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Victor Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-90.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.62
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.87
Harry Styles drops 'Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.' by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.71
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Bad Bunny win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will I Just Might by Bruno Mars be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.8
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$261.18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$111.47
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$246.59
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$61.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-83.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.48
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.45
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-69%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs in jail by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.2
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+147.8%+$243.47
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-80.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+329.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+403.7%+$3,171.24
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+413%+$1,612.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+635.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon say "America" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+1,370.6%+$139.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-2.5)backed Gençlerbirliği SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK BATE Barysaŭ vs. AF Elbasani: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Eichele cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shea Langeliers be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Forsen be the NLC 2026 Winter Split MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.