Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb52c0e897aac96d5311a5c6d3ef6e634b4a4b866fb79a5409cd2b1e46a825c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 23c | 21,088$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.78 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 46c | 17,640$8,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.72 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 79c | 7,674$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.84 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 58c | 7,067$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.23 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 49c | 6,436$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.31 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 68c | 6,404$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,326$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.87 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 45c | 4,901$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.6 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 6c | 4,422$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 59c | 4,318$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.48 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 57c | 3,496$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.46 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 43c | 3,020$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.51 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked No | 48c | 2,637$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.91 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 23c | 2,276$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.3 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,175$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.51 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,933$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.14 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 55c | 1,780$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 53c | 1,649$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 60c | 1,530$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 1,504$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 16c | 1,503$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Yes | 44c | 1,444$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed No | 74c | 1,432$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 63c | 1,360$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…6279backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,233$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,209$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.85 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,133$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.78 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…58babacked No | 52c | 1,115$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed No | 36c | 1,000$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 999.97$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.98 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 38c | 977.17$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.03 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 50c | 952.01$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.01 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 53c | 932.56$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 76c | 800$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…4872backed No | 56c | 750$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 14c | 730.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…6f28backed No | 77c | 680.87$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 29c | 645.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Yes | 40c | 644.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 632.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 14c | 598.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 59c | 590.94$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed No | 18c | 573.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 573.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 46c | 525.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 26c | 518.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 23c | 510$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…e259backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 21c | 486.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 63c | 470.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 45c | 454.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 36c | 450$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…2b60backed No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 13c | 428$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked No | 24c | 418$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked No | 17c | 417.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 67c | 412.79$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…3881backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Yes | 51c | 394.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 27c | 393$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 379.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 76c | 363.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 36c | 350.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked No | 54c | 349.81$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 16c | 326.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…18e3backed Yes | 53c | 307.19$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a1febacked No | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed No | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 298.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 287$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…f929backed Yes | 49c | 280$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 49c | 264.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…922bbacked Yes | 9c | 254.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 19c | 252.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 17c | 250.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…c415backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 38c | 240.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…f483backed No | 20c | 233.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked No | 59c | 229.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…df7fbacked No | 36c | 217$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 20c | 212.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…3ef7backed Yes | 24c | 209.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…168ebacked Yes | 10c | 208.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 46c | 207.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…491cbacked No | 51c | 207.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 64c | 205.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…63e9backed No | 60c | 202.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed No | 27c | 200.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…7e0abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Yes won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.