TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe562…4fa9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,672
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT29338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 293 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$252
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.35
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$130.53
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+208%+$473.59
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$108.97
Showing 25 of 293 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT26431.1%82 W · 182 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.88
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.26
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.03
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.4
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$266.55
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+480.5%+$552.61
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+248.2%+$358.9
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.11
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+315.1%+$760.61
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.5
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$103.81
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.35
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.04
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$175.74
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.66
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT18841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 188 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$259.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$112.78
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.37
Declan Rice: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gabriel Magalhaes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$92.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$76.85
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$54.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$144.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 188 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT17449.4%86 W · 88 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.86
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$26.14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.76
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.25
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$225.82
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.21
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$787.92
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$165.86
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$421.1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$741.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$560
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,005
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$860.1
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.96
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,665.18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$382.95
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$313.86
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$109.34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,539.4
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8746%40 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$66.18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$249.2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+130%+$77.97
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.96
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.45
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$69.73
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$186.71
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$64.63
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.65
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$55.06
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.91
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$57.52
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$268.21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.72
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$130.51
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT8516.5%14 W · 71 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+468.6%+$56.23
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+573.9%+$133.44
Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+640.9%+$96.14
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$35.19
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT7939.2%31 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$68.38
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$28.36
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.87
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.48
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$68.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$45.12
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.68
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7833.3%26 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$62.09
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$84.79
Will Ed Miliband be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$406.87
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.37
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$59.6
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.93
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64.47
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$121.23
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+588.9%+$88.34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+626.3%+$87.68
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.7
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.22
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.63
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$61.54
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$41.79
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.61
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.37
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.89
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+173%+$99.85
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$43.12
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.79
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.55
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$256.36
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.75
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+178.6%+$89.58
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$52.64
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$62.19
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+152.5%+$129.26
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.1%+$87.52
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$93.17
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.37
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+43.7%+$14.56
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.58
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+187.2%+$151.3
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.8%+$63.75
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$60.66
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$52
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.18
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.4%+$56.42
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+54%+$14.02
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$94.87
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$93.77
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.12
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.1%+$8.28
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.7
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.91
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.7%+$91.11
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Kathy Hochul say "Trump" 3+ times during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+130.1%+$54.31
Will Kathy Hochul say "Homeless" or "Homelessness" during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+64.8%+$15.26
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.42
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+64.7%+$133.91
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$169
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+57.9%+$26.7
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$172.2
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47%+$29.68
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+137.6%+$125.46
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$78.72
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.6%+$267.18
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$123.2
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$86.18
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$95.78
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.88
Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.88
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69.03
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.93
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.12
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.81
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$151.01
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$256.99
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$222.23
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75.7
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.2%+$66.24
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+225.8%+$112.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.84
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$86.43
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$288.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.4
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.71
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.03
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$192.75
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.68
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$459.44
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.67
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$5.19
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$561.56
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$22.19
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be between 75k and 90k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+265.6%+$163.59
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.49
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.9
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.72
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.99
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+183%+$97.63
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.7
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.95
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$72.35
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.52
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105.72
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+82.2%+$143.84
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+128.3%+$64.17
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3250000 and 3500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.58
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.33
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.18
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$70.57
All 25 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$134.12
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$98.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$58.31
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.1
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.58
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.39
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$34.17
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38.01
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43.45
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.68
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.16
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$135.19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+46.8%+$7.28
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56.25
Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.03
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.96
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.12
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43.29
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.1
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55.61
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.08
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+129.3%+$137.07
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+193.6%+$81.2
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$44.6
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.52
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$324.4
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$170.3
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.7%+$46.69
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.9%+$80.33
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.7%+$29.23
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$130.43
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49.42
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+105.7%+$45.21
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$63.35
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$91.06
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$46.08
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+152%+$71.43
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$25.85
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$46.27
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+128%+$84.5
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+111%+$27.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$36.43
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$283
All 16 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.12
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$76.84
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+277.6%+$75.79
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$77.34
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.01
Will Trump say "Submarine" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+128.6%+$59.07
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.13
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+68.9%+$98.49
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36.45
Will Trump say "China" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+85%+$189.06
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+95.7%+$63.19
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$91.69
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41%+$17.42
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$140.57
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40%+$61.2
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
MIA vs. BUF: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$214.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+43.7%+$21.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$213.05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$1,982.56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$258.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$27.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$93.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.