World Politics · resolved market
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3a8627dc299d22ac9f3d87f49b0eca4fd0f5d7b61a6c1bf8539f21cd0693f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Yes | 38c | 25,239$9,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,535.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 21,071$14,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.95 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f035backed Yes | 41c | 12,567$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…bc33backed Yes | 41c | 10,854$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 60c | 9,009$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 74c | 7,782$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 65c | 7,284$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…a74bbacked Yes | 38c | 6,662$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…45f3backed Yes | 31c | 6,038$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 49c | 6,015$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.19 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 65c | 5,834$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.73 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…a2d5backed No | 67c | 5,553$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…0ef3backed Yes | 27c | 5,329$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 71c | 4,829$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.17 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 64c | 4,747$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.52 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed No | 61c | 4,341$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.67 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 63c | 4,016$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.37 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ab…2db7backed Yes | 40c | 3,986$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 3,911$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.24 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…b311backed Yes | 31c | 3,821$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 70c | 3,405$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…15e1backed Yes | 37c | 3,323$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked No | 61c | 3,231$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 36c | 3,118$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…1c5fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,073$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…2fe5backed Yes | 24c | 2,988$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…8bffbacked Yes | 36c | 2,952$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,600$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 78c | 2,562$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 65c | 2,332$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…575cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,255$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…3f91backed Yes | 40c | 2,228$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 59c | 2,100$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.99 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…9404backed No | 67c | 2,060$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 76c | 2,040$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.52 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…6a41backed Yes | 35c | 1,933$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 63c | 1,887$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.03 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…3ebebacked Yes | 38c | 1,844$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 64c | 1,826$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.2 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…edd9backed No | 63c | 1,779$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…1f99backed Yes | 22c | 1,772$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…41a0backed Yes | 42c | 1,682$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 67c | 1,657$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 1,441$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…6603backed Yes | 51c | 1,327$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 65c | 1,300$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,280$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…ab93backed Yes | 32c | 1,253$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed No | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 50c | 1,200$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…3010backed No | 68c | 1,130$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 64c | 1,126$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f00fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,116$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 45c | 1,053$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.65 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed No | 64c | 1,021$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 65c | 1,014$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…521cbacked Yes | 30c | 980.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…6721backed Yes | 32c | 968.44$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed No | 67c | 949.38$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 67c | 927.12$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.95 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 47c | 921$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…425bbacked Yes | 35c | 899.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…cc95backed No | 71c | 884.94$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1bbabacked Yes | 41c | 852.11$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…06a3backed Yes | 36c | 827.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…bcbcbacked Yes | 30c | 802.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 72c | 800$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 65c | 798.52$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.23 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…655abacked Yes | 32c | 794.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked No | 67c | 784.54$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…e036backed Yes | 39c | 768.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 61c | 708.94$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 16c | 696.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 66c | 695$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…484ebacked Yes | 30c | 673.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 15c | 670.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…0d03backed Yes | 32c | 655.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 29c | 651.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 27c | 648.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…2f54backed Yes | 47c | 628.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 54c | 627.96$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 53c | 620.25$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.22 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…c88ebacked No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 64c | 598.37$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…fe08backed Yes | 40c | 542.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…6630backed Yes | 37c | 541.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 68c | 513.36$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked No | 65c | 505.09$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…8003backed Yes | 30c | 497.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 51c | 485.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.14 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 75c | 465$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.