TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7879…822a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+673.8%+$916.32
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+260%+$405.34
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$91.58
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$671
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.72
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$827.52
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.33
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$111.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$88.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$360.95
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92%+$367.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,364%+$422.85
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$74.02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$166.21
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$1,519.57
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+962.6%+$367.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+101%+$310.07
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.58
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.3%+$823.01
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+191.6%+$1,174.48
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,556.78
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,681.97
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.12
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.15
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$647
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.13
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,482.51
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$1,510.85
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$184.83
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$507.24
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$1,302.68
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$366.9
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$500.96
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.93
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$1,258.48
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$2,613.32
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61%+$408.27
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.61
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43%+$830.81
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$110
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$35.33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$462.6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,394.05
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$92.41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$262
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.81
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.9%+$9.97
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.4%+$9.95
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+77.3%+$95.02
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.94
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.43
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,005.6%+$251.4
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$73.96
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+580.4%+$610.39
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+394.5%+$6,095.35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$447.47
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$94.87
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$23.38
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.3%+$113.96
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.8%+$931.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$74.38
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+425.3%+$85.05
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,378.59
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$226.61
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$420.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,690
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.8%+$580.26
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$94.35
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.2%+$131.73
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$816.54
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$460.04
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.92
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.8
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+1,059.7%+$193.19
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$249.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+179.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$201.57
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.55
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$288
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+60%+$412.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$1,022.3
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.99
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113.9%+$58.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.