AI · resolved market
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b05c3a14c6a7c1c6c00a8c214ed154d4232a885f98ebfd01889204ed252931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,533,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,175,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,533,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa0f…ab1cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,409,985$116,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,492.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 56c | 1,097,133$613,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483,545.99 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 0c | 519,361$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 0c | 279,111$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…e614backed Yes | 36c | 159,729$57,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,855.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…ee13backed Yes | 0c | 100,100$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -59%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…4568backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 32c | 84,992$27,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,481.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Yes | 0c | 81,512$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 0c | 71,368$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 38c | 62,145$23,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,716.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…89f2backed Yes | 39c | 54,200$21,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…245ebacked Yes | 39c | 54,110$21,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,102.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 4c | 53,482$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 70c | 49,989$35,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,871.13 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…33d3backed Yes | 50c | 49,937$24,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,968.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…0658backed Yes | 0c | 48,790$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…219cbacked Yes | 47c | 45,070$20,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,996.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +230%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 42c | 42,722$17,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,769.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…ef52backed Yes | 52c | 40,533$20,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,919.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…60e7backed Yes | 54c | 40,384$21,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,661.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 39,714$14,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,613.56 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…0beebacked Yes | 52c | 38,956$20,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,256.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +244.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…4207backed Yes | 53c | 38,791$20,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,453 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 57c | 35,295$20,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035.38 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…98a5backed Yes | 53c | 31,526$16,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,663.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…9d73backed Yes | 29c | 30,429$8,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,926.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 49c | 30,334$14,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,611.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…dfcdbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 40c | 29,939$11,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,960.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes | 0c | 29,859$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 47c | 28,000$13,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,019.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 36c | 27,415$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.92 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…5b9abacked Yes | 53c | 25,875$13,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,656.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 36c | 24,949$8,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,955.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed No | 65c | 24,282$15,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…0004backed Yes | 40c | 23,715$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,377.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 49c | 23,552$11,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,597.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…3f9ebacked Yes | 42c | 22,987$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,549.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 54c | 21,772$11,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 57c | 21,712$12,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.45 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 39c | 20,583$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,092.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 40c | 20,161$8,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 46c | 20,035$9,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,216.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 68c | 18,485$12,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…065bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,566$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 18c | 16,850$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 32c | 16,500$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 16,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…f655backed Yes | 31c | 16,032$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed Yes | 36c | 15,721$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 62c | 15,619$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfb…bababacked Yes | 32c | 15,500$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…f0b1backed Yes | 13c | 15,013$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 14,897$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 52c | 14,116$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…a713backed Yes | 32c | 14,105$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…70c2backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…27b4backed Yes | 42c | 13,827$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…42ecbacked Yes | 2c | 13,815$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…10c9backed Yes | 36c | 13,747$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 60c | 13,400$8,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.87 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 47c | 13,055$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,863.6 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…4487backed Yes | 3c | 12,522$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…9450backed Yes | 40c | 12,220$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 60c | 12,104$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 50c | 12,101$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 40c | 12,047$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 50c | 12,000$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…3fd4backed Yes | 51c | 11,920$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 38c | 11,754$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed Yes | 6c | 11,613$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked Yes | 39c | 11,581$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.94 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 30c | 11,500$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…0653backed Yes | 37c | 11,100$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…3438backed Yes | 40c | 11,011$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…7b6fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 1c | 10,998$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9514backed Yes | 36c | 10,850$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 59c | 10,825$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.59 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…c15fbacked Yes | 13c | 10,747$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 33c | 10,741$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 10,300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 1c | 10,095$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 57c | 10,059$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.96 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…8bf1backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…d06cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 50c | 9,971$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 35c | 9,762$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…22c6backed Yes | 27c | 9,759$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…a1f7backed Yes | 45c | 9,697$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes | 52c | 9,379$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 0c | 9,268$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 59c | 9,205$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes | 32c | 9,191$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 39c | 9,114$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.