TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb3fe…4a24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
599
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT12528%35 W · 90 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.92
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$145
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.54
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+511.5%+$18,959.42
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$45.99
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.43
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.82
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.59
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.51
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,633.63
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.99
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.88
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT11241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$54.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.49
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.99
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT6264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.99
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.99
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.97
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$51.98
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4060%24 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$46.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,166.63
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+587.7%+$71,214.57
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$157.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.55
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$213
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$9,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,863.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,703.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,024.29
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,933.3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.32
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,699.98
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$21.19
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$34.5
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$42.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$32.44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.48
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$38.28
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Will OGC Nice vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,519.4%+$187.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$805
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.15
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$518.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$421.61
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$453.43
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$523
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$762
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$122
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.16
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Artur Minev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.69
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.96
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump dance during UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$236.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$32.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.