Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03cf5ee38ce116533fdcdc827ac7953ed101af802127ce9201c906309144ecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd25c…4d20backed No | 44c | 153,190$67,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,249.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 44c | 70,000$30,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,637.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 66,299$38,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,118.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 52,123$29,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,204.45 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 43c | 50,480$21,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,706.58 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.98 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 33,230$18,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,384.55 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 19,389$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,306.6 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 18,851$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,533.24 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 42c | 13,171$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 44c | 9,779$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 8,495$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.7 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 8,314$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.22 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 52c | 8,210$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.68 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 43c | 7,856$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.19 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 7,563$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 7,441$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.14 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 58c | 6,880$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.6 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 5,069$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.9 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked No | 57c | 4,371$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 43c | 4,029$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.91 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 54c | 3,100$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 2,800$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,777$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.87 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 43c | 2,707$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 58c | 2,413$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,262$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Yes | 57c | 2,193$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 58c | 2,076$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 49c | 1,974$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 44c | 1,942$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 1,814$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.73 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 1,814$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.83 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 60c | 1,519$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 52c | 1,300$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 1,280$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.03 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 1,233$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.43 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,169$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 56c | 1,158$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.22 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 1,124$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 1,068$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 1,026$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 57c | 1,019$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.17 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 53c | 945.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.66 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 933.07$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Yes | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 56c | 800$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 57c | 794.58$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 56c | 739.14$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 41c | 734.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 56c | 708.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Yes | 57c | 633.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 57c | 633$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 54c | 629.72$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 56c | 611$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 56c | 610.71$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 43c | 567.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…1043backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes | 52c | 535.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 46c | 518.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 53c | 515.34$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 62c | 481.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 51c | 478.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…b469backed No | 44c | 458.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…0531backed Yes | 55c | 450$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 57c | 413.6$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 52c | 409.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 58c | 406.9$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.