TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cb0…51d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$248.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$81.49
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,232.65
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+89.5%+$62.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110.72
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+83.5%+$19.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$110
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$483.46
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$400.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$122.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,335.04
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$641.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$327.47
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$20.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+30.1%+$300.36
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$67.65
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$418.37
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.8%+$545.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$167.34
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$57.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$333.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.3%+$126.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$331.08
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+258%+$774.07
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.24
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$30.45
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$11.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Qatar Total Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$401.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.