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La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,909,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,016,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,909,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 650 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes73c2,018,455$1,472,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,682.556100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked No27c800,000$216,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No27c199,937$53,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,982.9910438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No28c127,000$35,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,490.069328%26 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No27c118,406$31,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,969.5411055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No27c101,900$27,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,5136347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,0008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c93,180$23,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,873.024,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No29c72,444$21,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,126.576421.9%14 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No27c69,700$18,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,8192339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes72c58,123$41,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,302.2453149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No27c54,143$14,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,869.161,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No27c39,245$10,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,596.155242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No25c34,276$8,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,465.0390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c29,177$7,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.917722.1%17 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked No32c25,194$8,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,056.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No27c24,185$6,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,531.891,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No28c21,779$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.124223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No27c20,920$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c18,278$5,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,117.928122.2%18 W · 63 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No27c17,990$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.923930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No26c15,225$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.4716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No28c13,795$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No27c13,730$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.11020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No28c12,195$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.769529.5%28 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No27c10,034$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.1812648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80024347.3%115 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No29c9,834$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No27c9,309$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.3310536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No28c8,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No27c7,933$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1429748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No27c7,760$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.23438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No29c7,725$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.255743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No27c7,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0259625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No28c7,448$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.742218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No29c7,400$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12280%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5202227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes74c6,525$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No26c6,409$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.562,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No32c5,960$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.794753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c5,760$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.886160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Yes66c5,228$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes72c4,736$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.931,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes72c4,702$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No28c4,556$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.2912956.6%73 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No26c4,466$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.497851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c4,276$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.3869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No27c4,174$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1271136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08010057%57 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No36c3,642$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.123345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No21c3,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7c…3e26backed Yes76c3,373$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No29c3,370$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.242326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e50…e705backed Yes76c3,290$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed No28c3,267$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes66c3,061$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No27c3,050$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.58041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Yes73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8107353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81028147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No8c2,780$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.612846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes66c2,760$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.217744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7310250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes69c2,691$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.1112251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No27c2,637$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No1c2,334$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes72c2,100$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No28c2,100$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.793669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes68c2,055$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.3913969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked No28c2,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No17c1,824$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.110329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5044100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+204.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed No34c1,778$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No11c1,599$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.875038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4615446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.463948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No27c1,492$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes73c1,462$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4817252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e58…c676backed Yes69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No29c1,410$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095332.1%17 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No9c1,396$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes72c1,390$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No28c1,380$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.43542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes65c1,380$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes73c1,198$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.395554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes67c1,195$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.196575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.