La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485117eabc3c56c15153ae1fc0d5f82f6b68e4bbb29f1a2d50f97a2847598ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x471d…cd8fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 28c | 4,999$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,891$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 25c | 3,108$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 72c | 2,028$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 76c | 1,923$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 1,833$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,287$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 794.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 756.74$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 8c | 649.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 614$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 21c | 576.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 420.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 19c | 395.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 8c | 383.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 77c | 346.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 20c | 265.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 20c | 256$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 18c | 186.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 18c | 129.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 10c | 122.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 70.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 67.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 73c | 54.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…4313backed Yes | 20c | 54.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 72c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.