TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x74e0…af4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,143
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 57 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT19426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$69.23
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.09
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$255.79
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.45
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$53.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.19
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+108%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$49.67
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$15.52
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$28.34
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$44.4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+60%+$37.5
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.75
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$240.38
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.69
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.51
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+68.2%+$26.35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.08
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.56
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$124.79
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.75
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54.7%+$17.68
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT8936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$28.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+524.5%+$1,259.77
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.2
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.95
Will Christian Pulisic score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$17.8
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the announcers say "Eject" or "Ejected" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$94.83
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Ibrahim Sangaré score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$49.15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$280.51
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.9
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$172.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$39.57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$65.37
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$153
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.28
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$255.11
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.17
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+309.1%+$340
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$639.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.71
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.88
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.68
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$87
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT4940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 35 and 40 million views on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 40 and 45 million views on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$54.5
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$73.05
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$22.56
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.56
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.8
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$8.35
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$15.4
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$39.65
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+209%+$255.88
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.07
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.03
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$74.01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.43
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.14
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+261.4%+$43.4
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.39
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.77
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.29
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$32.19
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$23.27
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.05
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68%+$82.49
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.85
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$74.4
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.92
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.55
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.6
Will Yesway’s market cap be greater than $1.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.69
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$78.4
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$10.27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+268.9%+$32.8
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$156.69
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42%+$33.19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$38.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$19.97
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$62.66
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$89.9
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$176.64
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.99
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.51
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+65.3%+$15.8
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$74.2
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.7%+$84.21
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41.8%+$23.6
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$723.01
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200.09
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$205.5
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$204.32
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.8%+$87.88
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.23
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$79
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$49
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$39.85
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31%+$7.1
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.5%+$9.8
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+80.2%+$8.9
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+41.6%+$29.4
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+94.2%+$19.4
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+32.7%+$5.67
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$5.9
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$17.84
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$838
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+167.9%+$402.83
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$137.22
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$247.53
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$574.97
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.17
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37.9%+$220
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+295.1%+$391.54
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$260.96
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.56
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$343.92
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$68.6
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$41.2
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$28.4
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.9%+$182.09
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will US Lecce vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.98
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$126.33
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$752.38
Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$111.3
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Como 1907 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$187
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$93.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.4
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$540.74
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93.85
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+222.6%+$890.32
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+169.1%+$338.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+233.3%+$127.87
Will Mallorca vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$26.92
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$456.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.6
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.72
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$269.31
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+68.7%+$122.2
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+152.5%+$60.4
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$99.29
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25.8%+$41
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.2%+$10.2
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.98
Will Solana reach $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.57
Will Solana dip to $50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.36
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.2
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Solana dip to $70 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+814.6%+$1,319.64
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,809.4%+$1,809.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-72.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.37
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.4
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$725.77
Will SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)backed PAOK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$182.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trent Williams be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.03
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.45
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.3%+$16.37
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+50.6%+$16.95
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+73.9%+$12.75
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.6
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+227.9%+$27.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-76.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$327.99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$687.96
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+32.2%+$7.31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$460.73
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$77.16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$899.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.49
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$83.5
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.07
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.18
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$40.7
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.4%+$18.45
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+336.5%+$673
Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+77%+$8.7
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$31.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$238.32
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$82.8
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$54
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$82.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$40.5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.74
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $175?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $174?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $177?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $176?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $172?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $173?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $171?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+262%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.