La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca vs. Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb76f1aa50a6016be9495b6d12f6cc04885214b24143335ccd14ec26c33d53afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 8,641$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 2,941$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.48 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 31c | 2,501$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.9 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,882$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.19 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c0…9895backed No | 69c | 1,520$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 1,295$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.15 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…b782backed No | 69c | 1,275$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 68c | 930$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.4 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 68c | 813.84$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 764.52$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.52 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…dfbabacked No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 33c | 608.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 549.73$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…4866backed No | 69c | 542.03$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 531$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 381.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 67c | 380.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 366$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 25c | 346.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 33c | 330$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 323.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 12c | 287.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 254.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 246.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 209.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 33c | 172.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 68c | 160$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 158$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 33c | 150.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 29c | 134.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 129.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 18c | 89.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…ab3cbacked No | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d04bbacked No | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…f446backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4d5bbacked No | 69c | 78.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…329dbacked No | 69c | 76.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…4c06backed No | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…d4bdbacked No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…157cbacked No | 69c | 62.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 61.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…e30abacked No | 69c | 59.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 27c | 54.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 79c | 34.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 33c | 33.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…8382backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 25.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 67c | 23.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…4f66backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 68c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca vs. Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.