La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcfe69910d468e9ac5a5829676c8e957f2f6ccdcb6b872a66dfcbd3380bd2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 72c | 2,030$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,939$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 1,657$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 2c | 833.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 30c | 641.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 28c | 452.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 72c | 444.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 24c | 434.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 322.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 285.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 259.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 224.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 210.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 196.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…a36dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…dd8abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 71c | 60.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 27c | 39.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 72c | 31.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 72c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Mallorca vs. Osasuna end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.