TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0898…3c6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$384
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$339.98
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$465
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+150%+$600
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$287.96
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$396
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$279
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$259
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$263.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+125.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$197.25
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$640
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,199.99
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$258
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.1
Scroll airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$204.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.