NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb686f929daebc70b37a302da9209bb4b8ae43db7185ed9632f1feec320ffffda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pistons, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,514,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,329,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,514,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bucks | 27c | 761,256$201,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559,474.17 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 71c | 380,512$268,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268,796.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 73c | 120,927$88,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,277.02 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bucks | 40c | 119,843$47,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,905.54 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Pistons | 60c | 113,333$68,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 38c | 91,950$34,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,284.65 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 61c | 65,512$40,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,173.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bucks | 37c | 57,289$21,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,092.16 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 63c | 51,115$32,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,117.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 37c | 50,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,699.71 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 73c | 40,655$29,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,677.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bucks | 40c | 32,125$12,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,236.32 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 37c | 30,590$11,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,242.14 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 44c | 30,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Pistons | 63c | 29,205$18,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Pistons | 79c | 28,883$22,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,740.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks | 22c | 28,141$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,013.29 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 56c | 26,897$14,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,998.12 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Pistons | 40c | 24,720$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.78 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 37c | 23,849$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,024.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 63c | 21,859$13,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,767.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 62c | 19,472$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,015.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pistons | 67c | 17,590$11,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,784.94 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…18e1backed Bucks | 38c | 16,900$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 41c | 14,600$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,613.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 37c | 14,484$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pistons | 68c | 14,173$9,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,571.15 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 63c | 14,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons | 73c | 13,549$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.51 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 61c | 11,541$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.14 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pistons | 63c | 11,470$7,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.89 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f15…6cc2backed Pistons | 62c | 10,500$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…fe39backed Pistons | 62c | 10,500$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.97 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 69c | 9,450$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Pistons | 62c | 9,400$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…64a0backed Pistons | 63c | 9,200$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 24c | 9,139$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.21 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bucks | 38c | 8,498$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.35 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pistons | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…cc76backed Bucks | 37c | 7,900$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Bucks | 16c | 7,372$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 78c | 7,203$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.84 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Bucks | 38c | 6,811$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.58 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 5c | 6,732$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Bucks | 44c | 6,524$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.31 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 69c | 6,487$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucks | 40c | 6,394$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 38c | 6,337$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 62c | 6,142$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 61c | 6,113$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.22 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Bucks | 40c | 6,066$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.6 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Bucks | 46c | 6,026$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.68 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Bucks | 37c | 5,800$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bucks | 38c | 5,500$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 63c | 5,467$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.35 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pistons | 61c | 5,000$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Bucks | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bucks | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Pistons | 61c | 4,960$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.68 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 59c | 4,901$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pistons | 76c | 4,751$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.42 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks | 36c | 4,486$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.25 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 32c | 4,277$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1b70backed Pistons | 64c | 4,268$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…7564backed Pistons | 58c | 4,181$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…9706backed Bucks | 42c | 4,174$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bucks | 24c | 4,154$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.28 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 74c | 4,110$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…f075backed Bucks | 19c | 4,077$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Pistons | 57c | 4,002$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bucks | 38c | 3,990$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.02 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 62c | 3,964$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…429dbacked Pistons | 63c | 3,800$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Pistons | 56c | 3,653$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.81 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 21c | 3,639$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Pistons | 61c | 3,527$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bucks | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Pistons | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pistons | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.79 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Bucks | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks | 42c | 3,137$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.67 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…4950backed Pistons | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 52c | 3,108$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.1 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bucks | 52c | 3,096$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.52 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Pistons | 64c | 3,026$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.37 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Pistons | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bucks | 40c | 2,962$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.92 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Bucks | 38c | 2,923$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.93 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pistons | 64c | 2,903$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Bucks | 33c | 2,800$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Bucks | 40c | 2,775$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bucks | 47c | 2,761$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.58 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Pistons | 59c | 2,760$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.18 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Pistons | 60c | 2,745$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.11 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…5326backed Pistons | 67c | 2,675$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Pistons | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pistons | 63c | 2,500$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bucksthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.