TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ff5…f136

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
570
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT26048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.1
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$147.19
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.3
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$131.76
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$150
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,510
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.15
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+77%+$465.77
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$137.2
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$132.49
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.23
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.43
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$156.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.19
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$60.04
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.49
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$436.83
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.87
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$55.95
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT8852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.61
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$340.86
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$1,699.08
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.66
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$62.21
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$71.69
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$80.68
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.5
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Kings vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$132.22
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT5959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.84
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$316.75
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,275
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$203.33
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$65.25
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$438.48
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.62
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$106.04
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.46
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,199.6
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.1
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$266.93
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$372.17
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$83.64
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.67
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$976
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.57
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.82
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$344.78
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$306.56
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$321.29
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$144.42
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$296.73
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.08
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$240.75
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.54
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.49
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$151.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$236.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.85
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$319.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.52
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.54
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$113.91
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$154.67
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.57
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+278.9%+$886.24
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$221.18
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.79
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$716.39
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.63
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$284.57
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.16
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$171.93
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.43
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.43
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.18
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$159.29
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$168.89
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.47
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$194.46
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.53
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-6.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$162.99
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-7.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.5
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,700
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,750
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+59.5%+$5,053.3
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,197.29
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16,877Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37.6%+$6,343.38
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,717.7
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+59.3%+$533.62
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,295.69
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$2,713.09
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,015.92
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+258.8%+$9,191.48
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,342.53
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+62.6%+$516.66
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,655.44
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,999.99
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,577.47
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.5%+$3,593
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$2,955.49
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19,094Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37.6%+$7,187.45
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$965.01
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+48.8%+$508.14
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+140.8%+$5,824.26
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,818Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+70.3%+$1,277.11
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.8%+$2,004.02
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+676.3%+$2,794.57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.52
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$252.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$142.76
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.35
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$140.88
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$442
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,159.54
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+373.1%+$634.68
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$92.91
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$437.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.7%+$116.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$335.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$612.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$191.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.