NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Bills

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde17506a2d490c50bc61120c0ea01b2d354d46deaee64951c78ab7c9d844ce15

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Bengals, Bills
Resolved: Dec 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,277,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,319,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,597 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc419…1aefbacked Bengals	78c	77,814$60,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,614.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bills	39c	76,180$29,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,414.2	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Bills	42c	71,458$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,457.59	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bengals	40c	66,537$26,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,410.12	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Bills	51c	56,216$28,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,397.33	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals	45c	46,121$20,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,851.53	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Bills	63c	45,000$28,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,549.99	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bengals	40c	40,800$16,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,181.41	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bengals	42c	35,334$14,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,916.84	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bills	64c	33,734$21,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,004	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bengals	63c	32,491$20,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,404.98	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bengals	63c	29,877$18,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,936.72	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Bills	71c	27,495$19,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,973.58	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bengals	10c	24,099$2,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,302.34	315	43.2%136 W · 179 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals	1c	20,254$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.15	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bills	71c	20,000$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,799.99	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bengals	1c	15,614$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bengals	13c	14,189$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.36	192	35.4%68 W · 124 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…18b0backed Bengals	54c	13,900$7,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,503.1	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bills	25c	12,766$3,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,594.55	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals	29c	12,479$3,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,568.81	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bengals	28c	12,101$3,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,388.29	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Bengals	29c	12,000$3,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,460	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bengals	50c	11,690$5,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,865.55	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bengals	29c	11,200$3,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,248	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Bengals	28c	11,081$3,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,102.6	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Bengals	29c	10,495$3,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043.58	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bengals	29c	9,569$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,775.15	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Bills	72c	8,332$5,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.94	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Bills	70c	8,000$5,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,369.98	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bengals	37c	7,541$2,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,768.23	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9e…eddcbacked Bengals	30c	6,761$2,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,028.44	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	24cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bengals	28c	6,436$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,801.95	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Bills	72c	6,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe0b1…faebbacked Bengals	36c	5,908$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.57	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Bills	71c	5,506$3,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,596.74	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bills	70c	5,330$3,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals	28c	5,075$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421	284	47.5%135 W · 149 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Bengals	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Bengals	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bengals	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f7…9742backed Bengals	30c	4,773$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed Bengals	52c	4,766$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Bengals	48c	4,549$2,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.84	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Bengals	49c	4,475$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.15	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Bengals	29c	4,283$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Bengals	29c	4,179$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.83	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bengals	1c	4,121$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Bengals	29c	4,100$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.94	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+38%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bengals	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Bengals	30c	4,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Bengals	63c	3,985$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Bills	54c	3,948$2,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.02	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Bills	53c	3,857$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,832.03	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Bills	70c	3,704$2,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.2	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Bengals	55c	3,666$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bengals	46c	3,644$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.42	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Bengals	69c	3,588$2,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,467.84	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a6…9c48backed Bengals	61c	3,581$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bengals	39c	3,474$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.67	162	54.9%89 W · 73 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Bengals	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Bengals	29c	3,420$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.8	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Bengals	58c	3,297$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.67	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Bills	72c	3,284$2,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.43	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bengals	28c	3,177$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.43	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Bills	40c	3,167$1,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.73	95	36.8%35 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Bills	46c	3,131$1,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.26	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bengals	29c	3,087$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.84	163	44.8%73 W · 90 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Bills	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	54	72.2%39 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bengals	28c	2,976$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.25	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bengals	16c	2,957$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.99	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Bills	60c	2,938$1,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.27	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Bengals	8c	2,777$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.4	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bengals	1c	2,631$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	196	9.2%18 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bengals	63c	2,500$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bengals	29c	2,500$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-10.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bengals	28c	2,419$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.29	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Bills	47c	2,327$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.11	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals	41c	2,195$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.23	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae3…8ef0backed Bengals	29c	2,178$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Bengals	38c	2,168$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.46	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bengals	35c	2,133$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.63	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Bengals	3c	2,126$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.41	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bills	42c	2,124$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.14	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…5348backed Bengals	54c	2,109$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	62cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Bills	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Bills	29c	2,042$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.87	81	28.4%23 W · 58 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Bills	38c	2,006$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.44	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bills	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Bengals	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bengals	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Bengals	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.93	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bills	42c	1,962$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.61	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Bengals	57c	1,904$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.07	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea5b…d88dbacked Bengals	29c	1,897$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Bengals	29c	1,893$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…4dd0backed Bills	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.01	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bills	71c	1,883$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.9	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bills	39c	1,874$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.78	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bengals vs. Billsthis page
1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Bengals won
Bengals vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineBengals won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 51.5Over won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 52.5Over won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5Over won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Over won
Spread: Bills (-5.5)Bengals won
Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bengals won
Spread: Bills (-7.5)Bengals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bengals vs. Bills

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event