TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc3e…37ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST7736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+284.6%+$3,661.36
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.8%+$805.35
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.6%+$115.3
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.6%+$777.42
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,018.12
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.37
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,943.38
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+377.6%+$397
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$861.24
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$260.09
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.9%+$36,544.04
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$970.63
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62.58
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$803.88
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+79.6%+$11,219.58
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87,712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.9%+$49,015.76
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11,032.98
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11,944Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+223.7%+$26,723.64
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+130.6%+$11,241.27
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+710.1%+$24,679.52
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20,505.3
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$9,466.59
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15,951.36
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,050
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.09
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,199.91
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$3,400
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,475.7
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,118.78
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,805Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,409.22
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$619.11
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,850
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$4,361.2
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,399.97
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,954.42
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$6,700
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,902.8
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,076.08
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,250
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,799.88
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,299.87
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$6,900
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312.49
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,249.85
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$2,260.8
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$545.23
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,106.94
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.67
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+284.7%+$1,749.12
Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$90.85
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,360.82
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,359.57
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63%+$386.67
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.52
Will the announcers say "Sequence" or "Combination" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+140.2%+$291.84
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+144.8%+$702.76
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$9,300
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,664.47
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,196
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$7,695.6
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,793Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.2%+$2,206.53
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$876.84
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$487.8
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.78
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.6%+$2,133.44
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+64.4%+$7,399.29
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,026.53
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96%+$2,123.39
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.55
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump sign 8 or more pieces of legislation into law in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+292%+$190.45
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,094.52
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.2
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.89
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.43
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.97
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.8%+$83.26
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+54.4%+$56.14
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+229.1%+$183.28
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$137.97
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+169.9%+$975.15
Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.45
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.04
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.24
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.72
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.72
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.29
Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.05
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$1,670.67
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$445.37
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.85
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.54
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.74
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.04
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$366.37
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,541.69
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.4%+$1,302.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$450
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.67
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.53
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+54.6%+$65.87
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.89
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,281.67
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$988.32
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10,289.42
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$142.56
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,259.37
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$649.4
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,604.51
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,012.96
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.98
Colorado vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,712Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$1,619.3
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$5,029.96
Arizona State vs. Baylorbacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,443Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$2,906.09
Purdue vs. Notre Damebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.95
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,638.7
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,044Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+120.9%+$4,887.17
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,506.23
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,824Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$1,253.53
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,982.93
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+33%+$2,032.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$15,991.92
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,847.21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55%+$710
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+642.2%+$9,064.75
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,948.82
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52%+$513.09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.16
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+525%+$420
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+55.6%+$20.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+140%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+1,741.2%+$2,192.74
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$199.15
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.75
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$51.8
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.98
Will the Conservatives win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30.8
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$312
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$1,229.84
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,491.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.21
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$688.3
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$353.83
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.09
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+64%+$278.24
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.77
Will Jerome Powell say "Soft landing" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$130.82
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$67.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$99.99
Will Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.5
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Trump say "Oval Office" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$73.9
Will Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Will Trump say "Cristiano" or "Ronaldo" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Trump say "Iran" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$141.3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,207.69
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+357.6%+$31,575.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,768.44
Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,936.7
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$317.86
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$120.42
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+94.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.1
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$46.35
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.2
St. Mary's vs. American Universitybacked American University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.44
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+198.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+121.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkayabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,021.41
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.