College Football · resolved market
California vs. Hawaii
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46c7b524db0113c19a52cc55dae1a2bba8642c2dfca4ce56087f08abd8ac2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaiiof California, Hawaii
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,143,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,290,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,143,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,087 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Hawaii | 51c | 450,295$229,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,699.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Hawaii | 52c | 361,361$189,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,820.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked California | 50c | 254,229$127,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,114.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed California | 49c | 171,914$83,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,418.14 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed California | 48c | 145,000$69,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,599.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed California | 50c | 127,624$63,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,453.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Hawaii | 52c | 110,035$56,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,274.6 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Hawaii | 51c | 102,176$52,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed California | 49c | 102,083$50,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,020.86 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed California | 49c | 100,000$48,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,499.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed California | 57c | 97,485$56,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,032.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hawaii | 53c | 95,542$50,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,068.98 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Hawaii | 53c | 84,000$44,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,740.28 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked California | 49c | 72,563$35,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,586.07 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Hawaii | 51c | 55,000$27,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,049.96 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawaii | 49c | 52,953$25,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,087.47 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9720backed Hawaii | 18c | 49,013$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,162.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hawaii | 51c | 47,033$23,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,046.32 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed California | 48c | 34,339$16,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,482.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked California | 80c | 32,727$26,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,097.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawaii | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed California | 50c | 29,989$14,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,931.5 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed California | 49c | 29,932$14,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,666.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawaii | 51c | 25,632$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,672.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hawaii | 50c | 25,060$12,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,653.32 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked California | 67c | 24,546$16,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,327.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed California | 59c | 24,144$14,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,288.53 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Hawaii | 31c | 22,684$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,672.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 63c | 21,888$13,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,773.27 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California | 48c | 20,665$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,905.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawaii | 52c | 20,403$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,853.05 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California | 51c | 20,301$10,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450.65 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawaii | 51c | 20,000$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed California | 48c | 20,000$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,549.97 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed California | 51c | 19,978$10,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,127.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California | 49c | 15,457$7,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,506.11 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Hawaii | 53c | 14,200$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,674 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Hawaii | 63c | 13,000$8,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed Hawaii | 60c | 12,843$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed California | 57c | 11,935$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California | 71c | 11,796$8,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,418.76 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed California | 48c | 11,261$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.01 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked California | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Hawaii | 13c | 10,578$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,238.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +109%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawaii | 51c | 10,395$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California | 49c | 10,146$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.31 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawaii | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Hawaii | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked California | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawaii | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Hawaii | 42c | 8,369$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked California | 79c | 8,171$6,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed California | 49c | 8,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked California | 48c | 7,305$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed California | 48c | 7,053$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed California | 24c | 7,047$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.93 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed California | 1c | 6,455$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii | 47c | 6,338$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.08 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed California | 52c | 6,130$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed California | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hawaii | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hawaii | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed California | 50c | 5,603$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California | 61c | 5,496$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.58 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed California | 49c | 5,421$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.48 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked California | 50c | 5,395$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.85 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…d00fbacked Hawaii | 50c | 5,232$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…1aeabacked California | 49c | 5,071$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hawaii | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed California | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed California | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawaii | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…3ef9backed California | 49c | 4,924$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…956cbacked Hawaii | 51c | 4,766$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawaii | 18c | 4,569$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.57 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hawaii | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Hawaii | 50c | 4,030$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked California | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked California | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Hawaii | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed California | 57c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.97 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed California | 76c | 3,911$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed California | 48c | 3,737$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.06 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed California | 49c | 3,616$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.39 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed California | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Hawaii | 52c | 3,493$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.75 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed California | 50c | 3,480$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 57c | 3,472$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.24 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Hawaii | 52c | 3,461$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked California | 77c | 3,276$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii | 25c | 3,234$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.82 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…3aedbacked Hawaii | 53c | 3,169$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…cec0backed California | 47c | 3,157$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Hawaii | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Hawaii | 33c | 2,978$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed California | 49c | 2,880$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.2 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…f077backed California | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…16adbacked Hawaii | 52c | 2,794$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed California | 79c | 2,782$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Hawaii | 5c | 2,734$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California vs. Hawaiithis page
- California vs. Hawaii: 1H MoneylineCalifornia won
- California vs. Hawaii: O/U 50.5Over won
- California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)Hawaii won
- Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)Hawaii won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.