TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c242,481$116,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,644.193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under52c210,000$108,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,901.046046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c44,767$21,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,638.962,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Under52c41,169$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,600.143275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Under52c20,769$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under54c12,099$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c8,224$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.3211849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c6,209$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.639954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…1eacbacked Over53c5,568$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c5,528$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.358850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under53c3,904$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.248749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c3,247$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.864151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over49c2,462$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.242766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Over49c2,019$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under51c1,424$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.134429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over49c1,418$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.372751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c1,400$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73265945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over49c1,295$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.593438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c1,226$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.785942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb99…96f8backed Over47c1,151$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c1,100$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0810346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c959$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.521644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49420450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3575246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d5…531bbacked Over49c544.9$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over48c519.79$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.292536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2457254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over49c413.53$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.33548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Over47c363.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Over49c360.42$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.422944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15620950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c272$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over48c239.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7811056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c233$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.499051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Over48c215.73$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9547131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b3…5de3backed Under52c171.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over57c155.89$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.792218.2%4 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-64.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c152$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.67660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Under54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.92429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.252962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.142450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under52c110.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4228440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…db87backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.42per pick51cpaid+85.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe450…a6c9backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…0ad1backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.84955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Under54c74.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Over49c68.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9af4…c6ddbacked Over51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c50.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x004c…7052backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Over49c43.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207241.7%30 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9df…645ebacked Under50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47b…c715backed Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.496549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…d867backed Under54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.426939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc228…f268backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.