TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9a7…add9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$568.09
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.92
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.58
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$56.93
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$52.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$62.92
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$39.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+488.2%+$207.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$121.42
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.38
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$26.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$98.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.9
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.25
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$66
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+41.5%+$32.26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.9%+$44.18
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+257.1%+$71.99
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$76.2
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$57.6
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40.47
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+70.7%+$48.88
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.6
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.15
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$238.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$81.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+212.5%+$135.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$319.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.