Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d7c4c64b1bd4640e81d37f50d4ca7c3ba608555205ea0c5a55acc0c0ba448e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Xtreme Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 72c | 19,912$14,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.01 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 13,456$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.31 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 12,920$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.58 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…c415backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 10,804$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.23 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 79c | 10,055$7,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.8 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…65f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 9,474$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 8,406$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.51 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Spirit | 75c | 6,396$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.51 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 6,066$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,036$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.31 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 5,666$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 4,343$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.79 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 79c | 4,184$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.66 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,770$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 3,377$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.83 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 3,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 3,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Spirit | 67c | 2,903$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.08 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 2,741$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.36 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,536$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.81 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 2,500$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 2,438$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.42 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit | 54c | 2,414$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 2,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 2,049$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.28 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,991$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.3 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,936$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,851$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.81 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 1,724$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,515$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.47 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,454$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,396$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 1,356$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.7 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,328$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.56 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,148$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 1,100$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 1,064$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 1,041$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,026$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Spirit | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Spirit | 71c | 953.3$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 77c | 910.12$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 899.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 883.7$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Spirit | 77c | 820$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 810.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…6962backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 785.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 70c | 763.56$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Spirit | 69c | 745.63$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 740$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit | 57c | 738.7$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Team Spirit | 69c | 724.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 699.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 691.44$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…6c41backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 650$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…2b38backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 630.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 618.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Spirit | 54c | 617.84$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 605.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 539.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Team Spirit | 78c | 510.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Team Spirit | 71c | 460.94$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 452.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 449.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5246backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 413.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 404.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…9490backed Team Spirit | 78c | 397.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 386.33$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Team Spirit | 72c | 378.11$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Team Spirit | 29c | 369.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 340$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 334.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 319.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Spirit | 74c | 308.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 301.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 300.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…ee80backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 282.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 261.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.