TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f1f…57c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
391
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT31132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 311 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+576.7%+$1,182.29
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$149.83
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$295.44
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Showing 25 of 311 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$60.94
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.04
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$84.55
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
1win to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75%+$225.08
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Team Spirit win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will PlayTime win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LGD Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aurora Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$75
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.45
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The MongolZ Academy (+1.5)backed The MongolZ Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-33.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.