TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,995,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,417,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,995,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c469,448$13,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,3818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c200,000$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.4256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c175,491$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed Yes3c161,575$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes3c161,211$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c160,000$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.5378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c108,677$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.6975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes3c87,722$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes3c63,020$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.77329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…6bf5backed Yes3c56,671$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes2c39,130$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.99567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes3c36,646$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c36,346$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.684,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes3c35,714$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes3c30,078$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.354020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes3c25,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a76…1de3backed Yes4c24,136$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes3c22,837$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.381414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes2c21,669$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes3c20,702$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes3c19,227$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c19,185$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes3c17,500$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.52119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes3c16,843$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1524028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf3…969cbacked Yes3c16,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c15,912$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.31735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes3c15,625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes3c14,960$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3319529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes2c14,575$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1729916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b5…584dbacked Yes3c14,383$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.95616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cf…3690backed Yes7c13,454$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5612…5c9dbacked Yes2c13,000$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196210%0 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c12,604$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes3c12,305$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.981565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes2c12,256$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7325418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes2c12,213$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010936.7%40 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf093…44a6backed Yes3c11,538$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes2c11,428$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3212428.2%35 W · 89 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes2c11,205$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.64785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c10,982$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8353920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes3c10,714$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes2c10,672$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Yes2c10,562$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.48530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes2c10,321$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes3c10,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes2c10,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f1…b66cbacked Yes2c10,000$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ea…3f18backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a4…7044backed Yes3c10,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68f…9802backed Yes2c9,896$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes2c9,592$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.83316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes2c8,860$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.78806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea7…01d6backed Yes2c8,745$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes2c8,525$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3927520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb966…a098backed Yes2c8,353$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…db1dbacked Yes2c8,171$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes2c8,125$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes2c8,077$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7178835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c06…8d18backed Yes3c7,708$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…e419backed Yes3c7,526$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…a715backed Yes2c7,315$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.54166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes2c7,142$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.182516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c20…8801backed Yes1c6,943$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…a723backed Yes3c6,897$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes3c6,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes3c6,654$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0846230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes3c6,643$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2519739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes3c6,580$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes3c6,551$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5228251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfc…49e5backed Yes3c6,471$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…575fbacked Yes3c6,458$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200190%0 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c6,452$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes2c6,395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Yes3c6,226$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bb…4399backed Yes3c6,010$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes3c5,911$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc76…0738backed Yes3c5,500$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Yes4c5,430$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ced…d59fbacked Yes2c5,413$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…522dbacked Yes3c5,357$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…2b0bbacked Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes2c5,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes2c5,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes3c5,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13517636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes2c4,954$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4110617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…b74fbacked Yes3c4,940$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes2c4,913$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…b421backed Yes3c4,839$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…82a1backed Yes3c4,786$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315933.9%20 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f5…17a8backed Yes2c4,762$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d71…402bbacked Yes3c4,684$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes3c4,600$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.220725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes2c4,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf58…1deabacked Yes3c4,458$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea2…b81abacked Yes2c4,379$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004810.4%5 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.