TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c0f…9f39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT11914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,932.72
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$787.5
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$491
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$4,830
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$418.21
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.57
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: 3v Team vs Fuego (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked 3v Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$3,055.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$383.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$1,391.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,332
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,228.57
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 22 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+79.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.