TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d78…29a5backed Over74c19,486$14,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,369.978651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under34c16,526$5,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,907.2623948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under33c9,304$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.91,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over66c8,247$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.326858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under34c7,985$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,269.851,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Over67c7,465$4,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.585366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over36c4,308$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.8352750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under13c3,685$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.1338148%183 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under13c3,222$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.1414852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Under33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.973860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Under35c2,951$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.4625744.7%115 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over67c2,874$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93628835.4%102 W · 186 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under34c2,867$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.9314441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over66c2,416$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under30c2,162$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.1970641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under16c1,720$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.62,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over66c1,504$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0566558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Over67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0051770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over63c1,256$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0232442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under34c1,252$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.6390350.8%459 W · 444 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under32c1,086$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4496948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over66c1,044$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.288749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88047347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca53…2dffbacked Over66c984.85$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under21c959.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.332,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Over66c938.02$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.69250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over66c912.3$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.1236541.9%153 W · 212 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Under35c901.33$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.333225%8 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Under38c889.16$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.4443640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under33c885.76$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.462,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under35c865.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.211330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Over66c834.43$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under32c790.1$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.122,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over72c694.42$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.431,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over66c623.33$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1146448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Under35c590.69$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.952227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over65c582$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.31,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…ec80backed Over65c563.94$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c554.58$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.882,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…7bf8backed Under37c544.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over67c518$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7668553.7%368 W · 317 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over66c501.13$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37031646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9913551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc90e…c7b6backed Over63c479.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.993542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over66c456.35$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1942735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over66c449.75$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8421944.3%97 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Over66c404.61$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0411937%44 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.731,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over75c399.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7362949.9%314 W · 315 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over66c362.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23921540%86 W · 129 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over66c353.03$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23319263%121 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over45c352$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.519553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over56c351.58$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2111146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over23c337.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5230731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over67c334.06$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.711,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7171…697abacked Under34c326.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2516547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over67c321.03$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.096338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under31c313.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.992,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under20c309.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.782,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over43c300.33$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.441,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under36c300$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19138051.1%194 W · 186 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055545%250 W · 305 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014260.6%86 W · 56 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under33c296.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5565043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under37c293.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8512341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under34c293.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5757451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c291.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.371,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.718828.4%25 W · 63 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4dd…b5a6backed Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Over12c280$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over64c274.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2428843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Over70c270.63$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5111428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under57c265.19$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.961,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdec…e0e7backed Over67c265$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f80…ce62backed Under38c262.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.054854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed Under25c242.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.375343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882f…a6b3backed Over63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd5…2754backed Under35c234.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.294231%13 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over18c232.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7516919.5%33 W · 136 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Under13c216.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.272853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under34c207$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under33c202.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.083,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over66c200.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13318841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13421548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over63c199.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.836443.8%28 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under35c195.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0726641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under15c194.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaad…c9e0backed Over66c187.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed Under27c185.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1834441.9%144 W · 200 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over75c169.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6782836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over67c164.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.996826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under38c162$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.648045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over65c159.29$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8561946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.