Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbc0ee0f68ee9bbba6bc6815cdd29248d0f28eccec2fe12d1fbedcb2df34c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 29c | 799.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 28c | 750.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 72c | 686$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 71c | 600$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 584.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Under | 72c | 536.99$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Under | 75c | 491.9$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 26c | 491.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Under | 60c | 486.67$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 71c | 447.9$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 446.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 70c | 433.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 28c | 421.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 349 | 41.8%146 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 411.15$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Under | 71c | 409.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Over | 43c | 391.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…7e06backed Under | 72c | 363$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 31c | 309.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Under | 65c | 296.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Under | 67c | 296.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 80c | 288.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…85b1backed Over | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 13c | 266.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…e621backed Under | 72c | 243.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 24c | 177.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 128 | 69.5%89 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…77debacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 56c | 169.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 165$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 59c | 161.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 58c | 161.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…1cc1backed Under | 74c | 143.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Under | 70c | 135.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 11c | 126.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 40c | 123.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…6c1fbacked Under | 78c | 122$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1d90backed Over | 43c | 116.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Under | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 43c | 93.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 92.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 20c | 91.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 70c | 88.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 27c | 87.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 29c | 84.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Over | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Under | 73c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Under | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…40b3backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 72c | 50.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…9917backed Over | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Under | 70c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 70c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Over | 40c | 37.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Over | 43c | 34.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…678dbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…c3e6backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Under | 68c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…4fe5backed Under | 65c | 22.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.