Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd174d03a413c228e996a8cf7b8b599c62a700231668314db683e773296a11d82

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,483 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43f7…e591backed Over	50c	2,060$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	207	48.3%100 W · 107 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab1b…99e1backed Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under	50c	1,892$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	53c	1,726$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.31	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa44…b7e6backed Over	51c	1,181$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under	49c	1,018$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.7	160	47.5%76 W · 84 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	53c	999.97$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.99	421	49.2%207 W · 214 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under	48c	999.96$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.98	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	49c	999.96$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.98	903	50.8%459 W · 444 L	+17.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over	51c	953.35$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.21	248	36.7%91 W · 157 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	52c	900$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over	16c	558.69$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	1,453	43.4%630 W · 823 L	+106.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over	17c	549.4$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.73	698	41.8%292 W · 406 L	+46.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under	49c	504.96$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.48	166	54.2%90 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	49c	499.99$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	49c	437.02$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.69	2,540	39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L	-79.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Over	49c	404.89$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over	52c	332.56$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.93	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	49c	314.07$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.18	248	32.3%80 W · 168 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	1,117	48.8%545 W · 572 L	+40.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8290…d896backed Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under	51c	270$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	605	38.8%235 W · 370 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Under	49c	258.06$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.71	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	423	48.2%204 W · 219 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Under	53c	250$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.5	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over	50c	199.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Over	50c	177.13$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over	51c	167.39$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.37	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-10.0wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Under	49c	164.01$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.78	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over	51c	156.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Over	15c	149.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	48c	114.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	619	46.5%288 W · 331 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	52c	106.1$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.93	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over	29c	103.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	53c	102.21$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+28%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…c6bebacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	224	44.6%100 W · 124 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…e688backed Over	51c	86.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Over	52c	86.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-4.1wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over	51c	86.04$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Over	53c	85.94$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.21	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over	47c	63.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	49c	61.21$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.21	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…a084backed Under	66c	60.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	53c	55.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.07	207	64.7%134 W · 73 L	+24.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	305	43.9%134 W · 171 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over	30c	49.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	648	46.5%301 W · 347 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over	51c	49.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	967	49.8%482 W · 485 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	50c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked Over	45c	44.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	300	57.7%173 W · 127 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9290…5fedbacked Under	69c	43.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over	31c	43.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ec…8b0dbacked Over	30c	42.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d8…d27ebacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa971…eb93backed Over	34c	38.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Under	48c	38.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	46c	37.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	629	49.9%314 W · 315 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	50c	36.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.35	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under	51c	31.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.82	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over	48c	31.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-20%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce98…6d30backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	102	31.4%32 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Under	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	51c	29.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	1,343	49%658 W · 685 L	-26.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under	48c	22.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	454	44.3%201 W · 253 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Under	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…5fa9backed Over	51c	20.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Under	52c	20.1$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.65	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)LYON won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event