TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5006…48ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
530
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$186.66
Rodri: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.19
David Raya: 2+ savesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.3
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.88
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$314.1
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.35
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Manu Koné: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$48.57
France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.26
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.18
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$479.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$164.71
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.99
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.03
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$186.29
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.8
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$164.98
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$385
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98.07
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)backed GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT9160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.17
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.47
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.9
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80%+$410.2
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.28
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$85.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Blitzkrieg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)backed METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)backed SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.06
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$90.2
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.23
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$273.36
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.96
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$54.85
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$39.38
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.15
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)backed Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.5
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.99
Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.72
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.37
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.37
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$142.4
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$114.43
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.7
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.71
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$65.72
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.8
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.34
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.38
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.78
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$86.3
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$152.72
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.69
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$405
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$90.46
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.74
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$255.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.