Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6046e114c4f986c8081156d7326a19d50e5edf1334cc3210d35281c2e142e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Nemesis, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 4,317$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,018$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 1,008$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 956.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.85 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 944.76$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 791.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 692.31$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…03c1backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 680.37$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 643$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 619.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 618.47$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 469.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 457.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 439.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 347$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 339.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…3332backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 311.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 306.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 299.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 268.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 219$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 218.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 167.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 155.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 127.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 124.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 110.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…5336backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 81.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 72.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 64.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…12eabacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 61.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 44.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 34.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…0015backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469a…b342backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d6…2179backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.