Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958375865506b3a7d8f6d2b134b179243bdf78db9f245d3afbf26e95dbcf0b92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Nemesis, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 35,997$24,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,897.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.95 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 15,000$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.28 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 13,596$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.1 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 10,612$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.52 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 10,527$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 9,425$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.99 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 7,750$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.81 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 7,672$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.83 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 6,829$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 6,750$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.49 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 5,778$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 4,848$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.19 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Nemesis | 7c | 4,728$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 4,450$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.22 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 4,448$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 4,346$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.41 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 4,302$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 4,182$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 3,640$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.64 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 3,528$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 3,500$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.02 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 3,300$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.4 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b29…46fbbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 3,227$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 3,000$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.45 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 2,956$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 2,902$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 2,700$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 2,465$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.01 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 2,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 2,250$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 2,155$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 2,140$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.42 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 2,102$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.42 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 2,066$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.79 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,937$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.42 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 1,933$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…9884backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,933$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,759$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.7 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,646$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.35 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…03c1backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,594$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 1,579$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,571$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 1,529$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.07 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Nemesis | 7c | 1,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 1,366$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.3 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,360$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,231$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.23 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,200$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,181$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.51 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 1,164$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 1,163$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 1,149$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 1,127$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,015$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.84 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 1,014$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,000$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 998.49$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 965.73$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 964.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 929.52$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 927$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 918$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 907.38$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.86 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 898.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.54 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 891.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 850.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 833.71$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 764.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 738.13$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.35 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 736.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 727.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 700$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 688.18$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 680$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 664.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 649.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 639.79$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 637.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Nemesis | 7c | 625$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 609.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 601.64$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 595.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 588.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 587.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.