TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06a6…03ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$989.11
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$47.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.9
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,491.81
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43%+$347.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.99
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+365.6%+$1,753.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$429.93
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$312.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,266.78
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,719Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$837.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.96
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,271.62
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,305.53
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$488.49
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.69
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$372.82
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,520.78
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.21
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,023.78
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$391.39
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$181.85
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.54
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$32.29
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$323.12
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$259.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.65
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.31
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.34
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69%+$174.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.56
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$217.14
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.26
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.55
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.