Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd412798c7d20c196691269173edd4102ce40bc8dedfc0e15966340832b853ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 60c | 116,859$70,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,204.74 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 31c | 48,669$15,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,647.88 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 63c | 36,283$22,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,972.71 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 37c | 28,759$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,258.88 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 33c | 27,890$9,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,562.07 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 20,389$6,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,324.4 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 15,901$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.91 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 14,393$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 79c | 14,315$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,304.34 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Aurora | 14c | 13,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 50c | 10,808$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382.59 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 10,445$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 37c | 10,000$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.94 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.97 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Liquid | 49c | 9,497$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.22 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 63c | 9,400$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.47 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 25c | 8,944$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.67 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 8,119$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.06 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 36c | 8,055$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.19 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 8,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.12 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 35c | 7,896$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.31 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 31c | 7,544$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.37 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 33c | 7,294$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 7,262$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.23 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 37c | 7,102$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.75 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 6,201$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.58 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 35c | 6,091$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 64c | 5,956$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.51 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 28c | 5,610$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.67 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 37c | 5,572$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.17 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 36c | 5,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.97 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 69c | 5,063$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.91 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Aurora | 65c | 5,007$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Aurora | 80c | 5,000$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.79 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 65c | 5,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid | 14c | 4,674$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.66 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 74c | 4,669$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.62 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 36c | 4,650$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.99 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora | 67c | 4,503$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.67 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Aurora | 18c | 4,486$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.32 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Aurora | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 26c | 4,013$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.13 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 75c | 3,800$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.26 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 63c | 3,616$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.13 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,600$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 26c | 3,584$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.73 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 3,444$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.62 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Liquid | 23c | 3,424$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.31 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 71c | 3,421$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.11 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Aurora | 77c | 3,173$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.67 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 27c | 3,058$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.65 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Aurora | 61c | 3,011$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.84 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Aurora | 64c | 3,005$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.15 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 74c | 3,000$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,766$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.88 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,587$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.17 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Aurora | 63c | 2,554$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,525$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.38 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 56c | 2,500$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.98 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Aurora | 67c | 2,480$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.57 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 2,400$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.04 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Aurora | 60c | 2,354$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.83 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 2,297$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.96 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 80c | 2,221$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.7 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,170$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 51c | 2,161$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.58 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,145$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.91 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,054$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,949$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.8 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,944$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Liquid | 20c | 1,905$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.29 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,867$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.26 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 33c | 1,768$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.86 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed Aurora | 55c | 1,767$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.83 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 1,766$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.97 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked Aurora | 63c | 1,706$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 69c | 1,600$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.94 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,573$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.43 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,566$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.65 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,537$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.15 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,518$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.26 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,513$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.79 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 1,503$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.81 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Aurora | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.82 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,494$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.8 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 1c | 1,450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,401$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.59 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Aurora | 72c | 1,396$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 31c | 1,395$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.98 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,388$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 6c | 1,381$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Liquid | 26c | 1,342$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.9 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Aurora | 46c | 1,310$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,303$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Aurora | 73c | 1,285$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.88 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.