TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7d6…cab5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
775
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT51364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 513 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$923
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$2,060.57
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$418.91
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$677
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$642
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$155.74
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$1,007.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$713.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$1,128
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53%+$346.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$310
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27%+$318.75
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,363.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$701
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.3
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 513 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29%+$291.91
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.39
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.59
Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.12
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.99
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.35
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$214
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,512.98
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$141
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$196
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$107.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$70.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$27.26
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$67
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$292.03
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.8
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$192
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wuning: Junhan Zhang vs Yufei Renbacked Yufei Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$81.39
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+30%+$254
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.98
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.94
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,715.96
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.92
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamurabacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$64
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35%+$337
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.99
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$137.3
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+124.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$124.99
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.57
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$73.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$459
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.