Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111c5a46eac20f1317cceb8fe958b6e19f50c1a643f179a6cc067f3806c29a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,173,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,745,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,173,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,032,267$553,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553,914.31 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Falcons | 46c | 377,104$172,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,203.71 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 46c | 332,970$152,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,713.87 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Falcons | 52c | 86,427$45,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,221.3 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 49c | 54,915$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,914.97 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 48c | 50,113$24,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,088.79 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 48,704$23,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,319.59 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 41,339$32,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,244.54 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Liquid | 28c | 40,765$11,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,504.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 37,652$17,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,455.57 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 30,000$15,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,416.37 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 29,500$15,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,804.97 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 56c | 28,792$16,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,588.96 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 26,691$13,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,857.7 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 25,819$13,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,455.24 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 24,000$11,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,560 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 23,399$17,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.48 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 23,343$11,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,438.17 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 22,387$13,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 4c | 20,522$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.38 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 20,367$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,727.23 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Falcons | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 19,177$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,163.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 40c | 18,942$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.49 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 53c | 18,792$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959.72 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 17,872$12,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.48 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 69c | 17,759$12,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.5 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Falcons | 57c | 15,800$8,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.07 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Team Falcons | 78c | 15,524$12,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Falcons | 50c | 14,353$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,130.17 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Liquid | 52c | 13,196$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Falcons | 62c | 12,561$7,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.97 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 12,480$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.99 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 12,153$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.75 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 12,000$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.07 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 11,700$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 10,988$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Team Falcons | 72c | 10,981$7,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Falcons | 54c | 10,638$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 10,635$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.29 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 17c | 10,401$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.44 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 63c | 10,322$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.94 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Liquid | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 9,973$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.71 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 29c | 9,970$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.03 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 58c | 9,949$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.51 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 32c | 9,893$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.16 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 9,845$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.34 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 9,741$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.86 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 9,589$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 47c | 9,574$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.22 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 9,557$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.67 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 44c | 9,320$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.77 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Team Liquid | 53c | 9,300$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Team Liquid | 33c | 9,198$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Liquid | 44c | 8,984$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.49 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Liquid | 1c | 8,827$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 8,300$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.19 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 53c | 8,299$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.01 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 8,234$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.46 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 8,000$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 7,840$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b5…99cebacked Team Liquid | 11c | 7,802$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 7,720$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.7 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 7,703$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.27 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid | 28c | 7,359$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.42 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7fd6backed Team Liquid | 6c | 7,295$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed Team Liquid | 51c | 6,781$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid | 1c | 6,722$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 1c | 6,717$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 6,437$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 56c | 6,423$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.32 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 6,301$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.8 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,225$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,994$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.28 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 5,600$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.88 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Falcons | 68c | 5,575$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.62 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 5,462$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.24 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 5,436$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.17 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Team Liquid | 11c | 5,330$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.77 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 72c | 5,053$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.59 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Liquid | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 4,900$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.69 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…94fbbacked Team Liquid | 9c | 4,888$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 4,672$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.58 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 4,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 4,236$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.61 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 4,173$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.45 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 4,102$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.54 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Team Falcons | 48c | 4,053$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.6 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.