TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2787…e0c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,716
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17,043Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4,964.49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,646.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$9,630
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,274.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,721.75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,452Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44%+$4,601.84
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$4,812.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3,253.7
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$2,508.61
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$1,783.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,794Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,475.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$5,718.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$4,009.07
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$1,161.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,833Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$12,857.7
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$3,050.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,893.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,401.82
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29%+$765.39
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.36
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.27
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$952.41
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+63.8%+$415.83
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,489.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,199.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$1,389.31
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$150.4
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$720.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$5,082.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$37,083.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,582.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,054.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,219.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29,313.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,959.99
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,831Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$1,212.61
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,150
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$131,264Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.2%+$38,369.23
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$223.13
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$35,922.22
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$13,356.64
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,646.07
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,492.87
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,600
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,258.99
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.1
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$188.88
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11,132.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,615
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$3,261.81
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$10,211.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,023.04
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$3,086.94
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,248.02
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,715
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$1,387.68
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+74.4%+$535.53
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,899.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$1,370.37
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$2,622.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,535Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+55%+$5,797.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$381.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.