CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d5884c885cca54968e4b3faf753cfcb3d3677f5b99950bcb7f38394d3df7a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Alliance | 56c | 18,746$10,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Alliance | 57c | 17,500$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.91 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 16,833$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.04 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 8,530$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.29 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…8c49backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 8,500$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Team Nemesis | 4c | 6,843$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Alliance | 57c | 6,482$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.65 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 4,768$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Alliance | 77c | 4,641$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.21 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Alliance | 57c | 4,384$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.05 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 4,187$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.51 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 3,915$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.75 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Alliance | 56c | 2,996$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.09 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Alliance | 55c | 2,550$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.99 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 2,530$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Alliance | 56c | 2,494$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.36 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Alliance | 55c | 2,475$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.75 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 2,241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 2,157$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.71 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Alliance | 56c | 2,146$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.82 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 2,026$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Alliance | 55c | 2,011$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Alliance | 56c | 1,971$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.24 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Alliance | 54c | 1,866$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.47 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Alliance | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Alliance | 55c | 1,522$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,509$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,503$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 1,361$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,293$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.05 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,276$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.47 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance | 58c | 1,253$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,250$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,178$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.4 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,174$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,161$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 1,063$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Alliance | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Alliance | 54c | 1,010$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Alliance | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked Alliance | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alliance | 63c | 872.71$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Alliance | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Alliance | 59c | 766.24$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Alliance | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 757.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Alliance | 54c | 749.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 748.92$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 706.44$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 705.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Alliance | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 658.95$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 604.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 568.87$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alliance | 67c | 553.57$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 552.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 547.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 525.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 521.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Alliance | 56c | 467.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…e622backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alliance | 69c | 432.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 421.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 419.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Alliance | 56c | 401.71$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 397.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alliance | 53c | 386.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…2399backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 367.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Alliance | 56c | 356$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 354.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Alliance | 56c | 326.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 282$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alliance | 73c | 278.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 270.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 263.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Alliance | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Alliance | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Alliance | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 249$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 236.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 233.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Alliance | 65c | 231.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 222.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Alliance | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 196.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 190.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 190.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)Alliance won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.